Significance of specific votes in sample selection

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on quantifying the influence of pre-selection in voting scenarios, specifically in the context of talent competitions like X-Factor. It highlights a scenario where an initial pool of 200,000 candidates is narrowed down to 12 by producers and judges, raising questions about the significance of the public vote in determining the final winner. The consensus is that the pre-selection process holds substantial power over the final outcome, rendering the public vote relatively insignificant in comparison.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of voting theory and decision-making processes
  • Familiarity with talent competition structures, particularly X-Factor
  • Basic knowledge of statistical sampling methods
  • Concept of selection bias in public voting scenarios
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  • Research statistical methods for quantifying selection power in voting systems
  • Explore case studies on the impact of pre-selection in talent competitions
  • Learn about the role of public opinion in decision-making processes
  • Investigate the effects of sample size on voting outcomes and public influence
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This discussion is beneficial for statisticians, social scientists, talent competition producers, and anyone interested in the dynamics of voting power and selection processes.

Bkkkk
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I was wondering is there any way to quantify how much "power" a given selection has on the final outcome of a voting. More specifically, say you have a sample 330,000 people and you need to pick one. However, before you get to make a choice a pre-selection is applied and the sample is narrowed to only 20 people, you then choose one person.

How significant is your choice compared to that of the pre-selection in determining who is finally chosen?
 
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Assuming you are talking about an election in which every one gets a single vote, none at all.
 
Specifically I was referring to an x-factor style selection. So there are 200,000 who initially attend auditions. In auditions the number of candidates is reduced to 12 from the original 200,000 by the x-factor producers and judges. The rest of the competition uses a combination of judges and public vote to actually select the final winner. I was wondering if there was any way to quantify how much choosing power or selection power the x-factor team have over the public vote.

My intuition suggests that since the x-factor team reduce the sample of possible participants by a huge amount they have the overwhelming decision power and the public vote as a whole is completely negligible.
 

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