Simple probability with high frequency

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on calculating the cumulative probability of drawing at least one ace of spades from a standard deck of cards over multiple attempts. The formula used is 1 - (51/52)^n, where n represents the number of draws. After calculating, it is established that 119 attempts yield a 90% probability of drawing at least one ace of spades. The terminology used is confirmed to be correct, specifically referring to cumulative probability.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of basic probability concepts
  • Familiarity with cumulative probability
  • Knowledge of standard deck card composition
  • Basic algebra for manipulating probability formulas
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the concept of cumulative probability in depth
  • Learn about probability distributions and their applications
  • Explore advanced probability techniques such as the binomial distribution
  • Practice probability problems involving multiple events and outcomes
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Students revisiting probability concepts, educators teaching probability, and anyone interested in understanding cumulative probability in practical scenarios.

windy miller
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I'm trying to remember simple probability form high school. I'd like to know how the probability of anyone event changes with frequency. So for example the probability of getting one ace of spades is 1/52; what is the probability of getting at least one ace of spades if the card is put back and reshuffled over two events? How many events do you need to get a 90% probability of getting the ace of spades?
I think the formula is this: 1- (51/52)^n where n is the number of times you try. 51/52 because that the chances of your event not happening.
So I get 119 attempts gives you a 90% probability of getting at least one ace of spade.
Am I right? Also regarding the terminology is this the cumulative probability ?
 
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Correct.
windy miller said:
Also regarding the terminology is this the cumulative probability ?
The cumulative probability for getting an ace the first time: yes.
 
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