Statistical Physics: Proving "if p(a)=p(b)=p then p(ab) ≤ p^2

Click For Summary
SUMMARY

The discussion centers on proving the statement "if P(a) = P(b) = p, then P(a ∩ b) ≤ p^2." Participants explore various scenarios, including independent and mutually exclusive events. They conclude that while the statement holds true for independent events (P(a ∩ b) = P(a) * P(b) = p^2) and mutually exclusive events (P(a ∩ b) = 0), it cannot be universally proven without additional constraints. The need for specific conditions regarding the independence of events a and b is emphasized throughout the conversation.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of probability theory, specifically joint and conditional probabilities.
  • Familiarity with the concepts of independent and mutually exclusive events.
  • Knowledge of probability notation, such as P(a), P(b), and P(a ∩ b).
  • Basic comprehension of Venn diagrams and their application in probability.
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the definitions and properties of independent and mutually exclusive events in probability theory.
  • Study the implications of conditional probability and how it relates to joint probability.
  • Explore counterexamples in probability to understand when statements may not hold true.
  • Learn about the use of Venn diagrams in visualizing probabilities and their intersections.
USEFUL FOR

Students of probability theory, mathematicians, and anyone interested in understanding the complexities of joint probabilities and their relationships in statistical physics.

  • #31
Where are you going with this?
Assuming independence will change the problem.
We already covered that.
You don't know anything about P(a|b), so it can be anywhere from 0 to 1.
 
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: rangatudugala
Physics news on Phys.org
  • #32
sorry .. i dnt kw homework to prove this .. there may be a mistake some where or i dnt know nothing

Thanks for your help.. Ill try next prob
 
  • #33
I have already told you a few times how to prove it.
If it were true that " if P(a) =P(b) =p then P(a ∩ b) ≤ p2" then the relation would have to hold for all values of p and all a and b such that P(a) =P(b) =p.
You have shown that it is true for independent a and b, and for mutually exclusive a and b. I will also add in that it is true for certain p =1.
It is certainly not true for any a and b such that 0<p<1 and p(a|b) > p.
 
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: rangatudugala
  • #34
rangatudugala said:
independent
also P(a/b) = P(a)* P(a ∩ b) / P(b) ---> 3
P(b/a) = P(b)* P(a ∩ b) / P(a) ---> 4
Are you sure about this?
Your notation P(a/b) means probability of a given b, right?

This implies that P(a/b) = P(a ∩ b). Shouldn't it just be P(a/b) = P(a ∩ b) / P(b)?
 
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: rangatudugala
  • #35
RUber said:
Are you sure about this?
Your notation P(a/b) means probability of a given b, right?

This implies that P(a/b) = P(a ∩ b). Shouldn't it just be P(a/b) = P(a ∩ b) / P(b)?
P(a/b) means probability of a given b, right? yes its true

how come this possible ?P(a/b) = P(a ∩ b) / P(b)
 
  • #36
rangatudugala said:
how come this possible ?P(a/b) = P(a ∩ b) / P(b)
That's what it is.
 
  • #37
You have the probability of a given b, so you are only looking at the subset of the possibilities where b has already happened. If the events are independent, the P(a ∩ b)=P(a)P(b), similarly P(a|b) = P(a). Test these against the formula, and you will see how it is true.
 
  • #38
1ba46ff8b3cbad33a7c8eead937c8d34.png


99b11ba7fe4ec33be7a129cf182a32d2.png
 
  • #39
rangatudugala said:
1ba46ff8b3cbad33a7c8eead937c8d34.png


[PLAIN]https://upload.wikimedia.org/math/9/9/b/99b11ba7fe4ec33be7a129cf182a32d2.png[/QUOTE]

Your formula ##P(A \cap B) = P(A) \, P(B)## is NOT a general, true formula; it is true if and only if ##A## and ##B## are "independent" events, such as getting 'heads' on toss 1 of a coin and getting 'tails' on toss 2, or successive particle emissions from a radioactive element. There are millions of real-world examples where it is false. (Or, maybe I mis-read the intent of your post, in which case you might have left out some crucial clarifying information.)
 
Last edited by a moderator:
  • #40
Do you not know that "P(a or b)= P(a)+ P(b)- P(a and b)"?

Also, way back in post #5, Ruber asked what "ab" meant and you never answered. Is it "a and b" or "a or b"?
 
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: rangatudugala
  • #41
HallsofIvy said:
Do you not know that "P(a or b)= P(a)+ P(b)- P(a and b)"?

Also, way back in post #5, Ruber asked what "ab" meant and you never answered. Is it "a and b" or "a or b"?
I hv already answered. probably you didn't see

here rewritten the question
prove or disprove the following
p(a) = P(b) = p (let say some valve, you can use what ever symbol ) then p(a ∩ b) ≤ p^2
 

Similar threads

  • · Replies 19 ·
Replies
19
Views
3K
  • · Replies 6 ·
Replies
6
Views
1K
Replies
1
Views
2K
  • · Replies 8 ·
Replies
8
Views
1K
  • · Replies 1 ·
Replies
1
Views
1K
Replies
16
Views
3K
Replies
17
Views
3K
Replies
8
Views
4K
  • · Replies 13 ·
Replies
13
Views
1K
Replies
6
Views
2K