Agreement about "on the way" heuristics
marcus said:
I strongly agree. If there are any problems that are ready for us to confront they are on the way to Planck scale. This is the perspective that Nicolai adopted at the Planck scale conference. At Planck scale some new physics is expected to take over, his program is, if possible, to get all the way to Planck scale with minimal new machinery and have the theory testable.
And this range E < EPlanck is exactly where Bonanno's assertion applies. It is also where Roy Maartens and Martin Bojowald found, in 2005, that black holes could not form (given the Loop context).
We may in fact not have a problem. The sheer existence of black holes of less than Planck mass is questionable. There is no evidence that they exist, and there are analytical results to the contrary.
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atyy said:
OK, looks like we all agree on the physics heuristics but maybe not the names of various hypotheses.
I think that's a good way to put it. IMO the reason for strong interest in the research community in what physics might be like in the range from say 10
9 TeV up to 10
16 TeV, is because of interest in high-energy astrophysics and the early universe.
The paradigm of colliding two particles at higher and higher energy, and equating that with physics, has become less interesting. It's a mental rut (almost an obsession) left over from the accelerator era. For example Weinberg was talking about inflation, which is a different business.
Different concepts, and different sources of data, come into play.
You could say that the range 10
9 TeV up to 10
16 TeV is the range from just over "cosmic ray" energy up to "early universe" energy.
A billion TeV is kind of approximate upper bound on cosmic ray energies. It's quite rare to detect cosmic rays above that level. And 10
16 TeV is the Planck energy.
I would say this is a new
erogenous zone for theoretical physics. The putative "GUT" scale, of a trillion-plus TeV, comes in there. But it impressed me that in Nicolai's new model
there is no new physics at GUT scale. What Nicolai and Meissner have done is project a model which
*is falsifiable by LHC (once it gets going) and
*is conceptually economical, even minimalistic---based on existing standard model concepts,
*pushes the breakdown/blow-up points out past Planck scale, so it
*delays the need for fundamentally new physics until Planck scale is reached.
Whether Nicolai and Meissner's model is correct is not the issue here. What this example suggests is that this kind of conservative unflamboyant goal, this kind of unBaroque proposed solution, will IMO likely become fashionable among theorists. You could think of it as a reaction to past excesses, or a corrective swing of the pendulum.
This same economical or conservative spirit is the essence of what Weinberg is doing.
The new paper of his that we are discussing simply carries through on what he was talking about in his 6 July CERN lecture, where he said he didn't want to discourage anyone from continuing string research, but string theory might not be needed, might not be how the world is. How the world is, he said, might be described by (asymptotic safe) gravity and "good old" quantum field theory.
I assume that means describing the world pragmatically out to Planck scale (10
16 TeV) so you cover the early universe. An important part of the world!

And not worrying about whatever new physics might then kick in, if any does.
It's a modest and practical agenda, just getting that far, compared with worrying about putative seamonsters and dragons out beyond Planck energy. But of course that's fun and all to the good as well.
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In case anyone new is reading this thread, here is a link to video of Weinberg's 6 July CERN talk:
http://cdsweb.cern.ch/record/1188567/
It gives an intelligent overview of what this paper is about, where it fits into the big picture, and what motivates the Asymptotic Safe QG program (which he describes in the last 12 minutes of the video).
As a leading example of extending known and testable physics out to Planck scale, here is Nicolai's June 2009 talk:
http://www.ift.uni.wroc.pl/~rdurka/planckscale/index-video.php?plik=http://panoramix.ift.uni.wroc.pl/~planckscale/video/Day1/1-3.flv&tytul=1.3%20Nicolai
Here's the index to all the videos from the Planck Scale conference
http://www.ift.uni.wroc.pl/~rdurka/planckscale/index-video.php