jedishrfu said:
Specifically folks in some instances can be identified from their relatives DNA.
The worry of course is false positives placing you at a crime scene...
As I said above, there's "risk" in everything, and the word is often thrown around in a handwavey way -- the title of the video is pretty provocative and while they identify the risks, they make no attempt to quantify them or analyze them in context vs other similar risks.
I'd be curious to know if a false-positive DNA match has ever happened. I found one link that suggests a certain test that is pretty prone to false-positives (1 in 700something) once got a guy wrongfully convicted in Taiwan, but that's all I can find. A more common test, though, has a theoretical false positive rate of about 1 in a billion. That's lower than the odds of winning the Powerball and I would hope some basic police work would prevent most such false positives from going anywhere. E.G., I'd hope they wouldn't arrest me for a murder in 1981 in California given that I was a 5 year old living in Pennsylvania at the time.
Is this really an actual worry people have?
This is real, but I wonder what the actual "worry" is, and I'm not sure if it is calculable. If my brother (I don't have a brother that I'm aware of) kills someone and my dad's DNA pops up as a familial match, police will investigate me and my brother. This could include knocking on my door and questioning me. This is
new, but is not any
different from classic police work. If someone steals my car and uses it to commit a crime, the police will question me about it. If I'm at a restaurant and someone steals money from the cash register but they aren't sure who, I'd expect the police to track me down from my credit card slip and question me. Police (detective) work is all about making connections. The dna family search is just another entry-point. If our culture has people so afraid of the police that they are afraid of being one of the dead-ends in an investigative thread, that's a problem that doesn't have anything to do with DNA.
...or of a sketchy insurance company profiling you and refusing coverage based on what it pieces together in your DNA makeup.
This "risk" is entirely hypothetical, but paradoxically probably the bigger "worry". The odds of this happening
tomorrow(without recourse) are exactly zero since it is currently not legal to do this. The real "worry" I think should be a law being passed that makes it legal. It would be tough to calculate the odds of this
ever happening, but I suppose if people want to worry about it, they're entitled to.
I'm not much of a worrier.