The Long Emergency : What do you think?

[Chi Meson]

One of the hardships expected by Mr. K is the collapse of technical research due to the loss of the cheap energy to power all of our labs. Again, I think his prediction is a bit early and sudden. I would expect a long taper from oil. But nonetheless without petrolium-powered electricity, we cannot power (all of) our huge accelerators and fusion labs. This suggests a bit of a race to find the "fusion solution" before petrolium completely dries up.

And in my days of pessimism, I do enjoy being told that I am wrong, so have at it all.

 

[russ_watters]

You answered in regard to 'some places', I'm asking in regard to the entire continent.

Different things are going to happen to different countries. Some countries, like Egypt, will probably never be so overrun with AIDS that they will collapse. Are you looking for me to write a hundred page report on how AIDS will affect Africa? Sorry, it ain't going to happen.

 

[kyleb]

No, I'm just asking you your exstimate of a date in regard to this:

Africa is going to take care of itself one way or another: either it'll become more affluent or AIDS will kill off the entire continent.