Tropical Storm Erika (August 2015)

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers around Tropical Storm Erika, its impact on the Caribbean, particularly Dominica, and its subsequent effects on the eastern United States. Participants explore the storm's intensity, movement, and the resulting weather phenomena, including flooding in South Carolina.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested
  • Experimental/applied

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants note that Tropical Storm Erika caused significant destruction in Dominica, resulting in at least 20 fatalities and numerous missing persons.
  • Others report that Erika is losing intensity but gaining organization, with its trajectory shifting southwest.
  • A participant shares information from the National Hurricane Center, indicating that Erika has degenerated to a trough of low pressure, while questioning the possibility of redevelopment in the Gulf or Caribbean.
  • One participant mentions that remnants of Erika led to severe flooding in South Carolina, exacerbated by high tides due to a full moon.
  • Another participant shares a visualization of current wind flow, highlighting the presence of multiple tropical storms in the Pacific.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express varying views on the future trajectory and potential redevelopment of Tropical Storm Erika, indicating that the discussion remains unresolved regarding its impact and future behavior.

Contextual Notes

There are limitations in the discussion regarding the assumptions about storm behavior and the definitions of intensity and organization, which remain open to interpretation.

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http://news.yahoo.com/puerto-rico-braces-ts-erika-4-dead-dominica-040658141.html
SANTO DOMINGO, Dominican Republic (AP) — Tropical Storm Erika began to lose steam Friday over Haiti and the Dominican Republic, but it caused a trail of destruction that killed at least 20 people and left another 31 missing on the small eastern Caribbean island of Dominica, authorities said.

Maybe headed to the east coast of Florida.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2015/refresh/ERIKA+shtml/234401.shtml?
 
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Currently losing intensity, gaining "organization," and slipping SW. See where it goes.
 
From the National Hurricane Center ...ERIKA DEGENERATES TO A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE...

SUMMARY OF 930 AM EDT...1330 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.5N 75.9W
ABOUT 130 MI...205 KM E OF CAMAGUEY CUBA
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SSE OF NASSAU
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 22 MPH...35 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHESBut could it redevelop in the Gulf, Caribbean or off the Atlantic coast?
 
Erika still not finished. Hurricane Fred formed
http://news.yahoo.com/fred-becomes-second-hurricane-2015-atlantic-season-061356797.html#
Remnants of Erika brought flooding to parts of South Carolina.
(Reuters) In Charleston's outlying suburbs, some residents reported on social media that they could not get out of their driveways, and local TV stations showed pictures of cars submerged above their windows and over the hoods.

Charleston police closed streets in peninsular Charleston, which is at or slightly above sea level. The torrential rain coincided with "king tides," especially high tides caused by a full moon and expected to last until Wednesday, city officials said.
According to the Reuters article
Fred is the first hurricane to go through the Cape Verde islands since 1892, according to the official Atlantic tropical cyclone record which begins in 1851.
 

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