SUMMARY
The expectation of the greater of two correlated normal variables \(X\) and \(Y\) with zero means and unit variances is proven to be \(\sqrt{(1-r)\pi}\), where \(r\) is the correlation coefficient. The derivation involves integrating the joint probability density function \(f(x,y)\) of the multivariate normal distribution, specifically \(f(x,y) = \frac{1}{2\pi\sqrt{1-r^2}} \exp\left(-\frac{1}{2}(x^2 - 2rxy + y^2)/(1-r^2)\right)\). The integration is performed over the region where \(x > y\), utilizing a change of variables to simplify the computation.
PREREQUISITES
- Understanding of multivariate normal distribution
- Knowledge of probability density functions
- Familiarity with integration techniques in two dimensions
- Basic concepts of correlation and covariance
NEXT STEPS
- Study the properties of the multivariate normal distribution, focusing on correlation coefficients.
- Learn about conditional expectations in the context of joint distributions.
- Explore integration techniques for multivariable functions, particularly in probability theory.
- Investigate applications of the expectation of the maximum of correlated random variables.
USEFUL FOR
Statisticians, data scientists, and researchers in fields requiring statistical analysis of correlated variables will benefit from this discussion.