U.S. Tax Code probability homework

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around a probability question related to a survey on perceptions of the U.S. Tax Code's fairness among different age groups. The original poster presents a dataset of 1000 individuals categorized by age and their responses regarding the tax code's fairness.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Conceptual clarification, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss how to approach calculating probabilities based on survey data, with some suggesting the need to consider experimental design to avoid bias. Others explore the idea of conditional probability in relation to age groups and unfairness responses.

Discussion Status

The conversation is ongoing, with participants sharing insights on how to interpret the data and calculate probabilities. There is no explicit consensus yet, but various interpretations and methods are being explored.

Contextual Notes

Participants are working with a specific dataset that includes responses categorized by age groups, and there is a focus on understanding how to calculate probabilities without bias. The original poster expresses a desire for guidance rather than direct answers.

g3lo
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Hello All,

I am new to these forums and hope someone may help me out. I am doing an assignment and am stuck on one of the questions.

There is a sample of 1000 people of different age groups.
18-24, 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65 or older

People were asked if they thought the new tax code is fair or unfair. I have an excel document with all the data.

The question asks, what is the probability that the people felt that the U.S. Tax Code is unfairly spread across income groups and education levels.

I do not want the answer, rather how I can approach to obtain the answer myself. Your help is greatly appreciated in advance.

How would I tackle the problem?
--G3LO
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g3lo said:
Hello All,

I am new to these forums and hope someone may help me out. I am doing an assignment and am stuck on one of the questions.

There is a sample of 1000 people of different age groups.
18-24, 25-34, 35-44, 45-54, 55-64, 65 or older

People were asked if they thought the new tax code is fair or unfair. I have an excel document with all the data.

The question asks, what is the probability that the people felt that the U.S. Tax Code is unfairly spread across income groups and education levels.

I do not want the answer, rather how I can approach to obtain the answer myself. Your help is greatly appreciated in advance.

How would I tackle the problem?
--G3LO
Report Post Edit/Delete Message

Hey there and welcome to the forums.

For something like what you are looking for, have a look into experimental design.

To eliminate the kinds of bias you are talking about, it would be expected that the experiment where as random and as unbiased as possible.

Are you or have you done a major in statistics?
 
No I have not.

This is the data.
Age Totals
Response18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65 or older
Fair 68 165 208 153 68 36 698
Unfair 42 96 79 51 20 14 302
Totals 110 261 287 204 88 50 1000

Would it be correct, if the question is asking, for each age group, what is the probability that the result is unfair.

I would do 42/1000, 96/1000, 79/1000, etc.

Is that correct?
 
Actually I just want to apologize since I thought you were asking about finding a "fair" experiment. For some reason I tied the word "fair" and "unfair" to the experiment so disregard the above comment.

As for getting probability for age group you will probably be interested in conditional probability. So say P(Unfair | Age = 18-24) = P(Unfair AND 18-24)/P(Age = 18-24).

Does this sound right?
 

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