I like Serena said:
That is unknown.
If A and B are independent, then $P(A \mid B) = P(A)$.
If they are dependent, then $P(A \mid B)$ can be anything between $0$ and $P(A)$.
If A and B are dependent we have insufficient information to find $P(A\cap B)$.
If they are independent we have $P(A\cap B)=P(A)P(B)$.
Ok, I have 2 examples.
I have a fair coin and a two-headed coin. I choose one of them with equal probability and I flip it. Given that I flipped a heads, what is the probability that I chose the two-headed coin?
Let the event of flipping heads be H. So $P(H) = \frac{3}{4} $ OR $P(H) = 0.75$.
Let the event of picking a coin with 2 heads be 2-HC. So $P(2-HC) = 0.5$. To solve this question I need to find
$$\frac{P(H \cap 2-HC)}{P(H)}$$
OR
$$\frac{P(H \cap 2-HC)}{0.75}$$
So I need to find $P(H \cap 2-HC)$. So how would I find the intersection of these 2? Just take the smaller of 2 numbers, so 0.5?
Then I would get $0.5/ 0.75$ which is $2/3$ which seems to be correct.
The other example I have is:
80% of the customers at a pub order drinks and 35% order food. Assuming that there are no customers who order neither food nor drinks, what is the probability that a customer who orders drinks will also order food?
So let the event of the customers ordering drinks be D. Therefore, $P(D) = 0.8$. Let the event of customers ordering food be F. So, $S(F) = 0.35$.
I need to find
$$\frac{P(F \cap D)}{P(D)}$$ Or
$$\frac{P(F \cap D)}{0.8}$$
So what is $P(F \cap D)$?
The smaller of the 2 numbers? That would be $0.35$ which is incorrect.
I suppose it could be $F + D - 1$ or $0.15$ and this would yield the correct answer.
But is I try this formula in my first example, $P(H \cap 2-HC)$ would equal $0.25$ which would yield the wrong answer.
Furthermore, what about 2 probabilities that don't equal more than 1, than this formula ($A + B -1 $) wouldn't work at all.