What are the Key Factors for Victory in the 2008 Presidential Election?

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the key factors influencing the 2008 Presidential Election between Barack Obama and John McCain, with a focus on demographic voting patterns. Notably, the eligible Hispanic voter population stands at 17,315,000, while eligible Black voters total 24,115,000, compared to 151,110,000 eligible White voters. The conversation highlights the significance of state electoral votes, particularly New Mexico's 5 electoral votes, and the potential impact of vice-presidential candidates on voter turnout. The consensus suggests that Obama must appeal to blue-collar labor groups rather than solely focusing on Hispanic voters to secure swing states.

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  • Understanding of U.S. electoral processes and the Electoral College system
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Who will win the General Election?

  • Obama by over 15 Electoral Votes

    Votes: 16 50.0%
  • Obama by under 15 Electoral Votes

    Votes: 6 18.8%
  • McCain by over 15 Electoral Votes

    Votes: 4 12.5%
  • McCain by under 15 Electoral Votes

    Votes: 6 18.8%

  • Total voters
    32
  • #1,231
Politico said:
It’s official: McCain wins Missouri
By ANDY BARR | 11/19/08 5:17 PM EST

The Associated Press on Wednesday declared John McCain the winner in Missouri, the last undecided state of the 2008 presidential election.

The race had been too close to call in the two weeks since Election Day, with McCain holding a slim lead. Heading into last weekend, McCain held a roughly 5,000-vote lead with tens of thousands of ballots remaining uncounted. The final margin of victory was 3,632 votes, out of over 2.9 million cast.

With Missouri’s 11 electoral votes going to McCain, the final electoral vote tally stands at 365 for Obama to 173 for McCain.
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1108/15802.html
 
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  • #1,232
Heh, who would have thought that Obama would win Indiana, but lose Mo?
 
  • #1,233
Will any other party than D and R ever stand a chance in American election?
 
  • #1,234
leopard said:
Will any other party than D and R ever stand a chance in American election?
Not if no one will vote for them. Would you want a party to succeed if no one voted for them. Did you vote for any other party than D and R this time around?
 
  • #1,235
We always know long before the election that a third party candidate has no chance of winning.

Who were we going to vote for, Nader - the guy who has philosophical discussions with his parrot? Or Bob Barr, nutjob? Not ready for prime time Paul? If there was a viable choice, a third party candidate might have a chance [provided that he's not up against a phenomenon like Obama].

I went door to door collecting sigs to get Perot on the ballot, but in the end, he was a nut.
 
  • #1,236
I think for a party to take root it needs more than a cult of personality - it needs a movement.

I think that's where the more recent parties have sprung from - Perot, Anderson, Wallace, Nader. I suspect they are doomed to failure. As I recall not even Teddy Roosevelt and the Bull Moose were able to win with just the force of his personality, though I think they managed more than Taft and the Republicans.

Given that the Republican identity has in recent decades become so entangled with the extreme Christian Right agenda - which has apparently been repudiated in this last election - I doubt that without abandoning their more extreme agendas, and accepting more reasonable standards as regards social issues like rights of gays and abortion they will only serve to marginalize themselves further.
 
  • #1,237
I supported Mike Gravel.
 
  • #1,238
leopard said:
I supported Mike Gravel.

Gravel was much too coarse for me.
 
  • #1,239
Ivan Seeking said:
Gravel was much too coarse for me.
Sandy Berger wasn't running - not much choice over coarseness.
 
  • #1,240
Ivan Seeking said:
Gravel was much too coarse for me.

I respect that, but I vote for politicians, not charismatic persons.
 
  • #1,241
leopard said:
I respect that, but I vote for politicians, not charismatic persons.

It was a joke.

Still, like Paul and Perot, he is not Presidential material, IMO. I think he got about two votes!
 
  • #1,242
leopard said:
Will any other party than D and R ever stand a chance in American election?

Well, the R is about to disintegrate in a C and a M...
 

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