mitchell porter said:
the explanation for θ_QCD = 0 could have been a massless up quark, and this is an ingredient of
@arivero's "unperturbed waterfall", which has to be "perturbed" in order to line up with the actual quark masses. The instantons associated with the axial anomaly are already capable of giving a small mass to an otherwise massless up quark.
The question for us is whether such effects could actually shift the entire quark mass spectrum in the required way.
The differences between an extended Koide waterfall with a zero mass up quark and the observed masses is well approximated by adjusting the waterfall masses by the mass of the down-like quark that is not part of an up-like quark's Koide triple in the waterfall times the CKM matrix squared of the up-like quark and the missing down-like quark (or the reverse for a down-like quark).
For example, if the waterfall value of the up-quark is zero, and you add the b-quark mass times the ub CKM matrix element squared, you get something quite close to the measured value of the up-quark.
Where the CKM matrix element squared for the opposite charge quark that isn't included in its Koide triple is fairly large, for example, in the case of the c-quark, the waterfall value is further from the mark.
Where the CKM matrix element squared for the opposite charge quark that isn't included in its Koide triple is small and the mass of the excluded opposite charge quark is small, for example, in the case of the b-quark, the waterfall value is spot on accurate.
Surely, a linear "missing from the triple quark mass" times CKM matrix element squared is not truly the right formula. More likely, the waterfall value is a leading order approximation, this adjustment is a next to leading order approximation, and there would be additional terms and/or the adjustment needs to have a non-linear form.
The other plus of that way of thinking about systemic deviations from a pure waterfall model is that one can be parsimonious. You don't need another fundamental instanton or axion or BSM Goldstone boson or string theory to perturb the quark masses. The perturbation of the masses can arise from on shell and off shell W-boson interactions between one flavor of quark and another flavor of quark that a W boson can transform it into in a weak force interaction. No BSM particles or forces required.
From this perspective, the four CKM matrix parameters, and the relative magnitude of the six quark masses, are basically all properties of the W boson, with the overall mass scale of the fundamental fermions of the quarks driven by the Higgs vev, which, in turn, is itself a function of the W boson mass and the weak force coupling coupling constant (both of which are also properties of the W boson).
Basically, the W boson got robbed in the PR department. It, and not the Higgs boson, is the real "God particle", and a plausible source of the lion's share of the experimentally determined physical constants of the Standard Model.