SUMMARY
The expected value of attempting a field goal is calculated using the formula for expected value, which is the product of the probability of success and the points awarded. In this case, with a 90% chance of scoring a field goal worth 3 points, the expected value is (3)(0.9) = 2.7 points. The probability of scoring a touchdown is irrelevant to this calculation, as it does not factor into the expected value of the field goal attempt.
PREREQUISITES
- Understanding of probability theory
- Familiarity with expected value calculations
- Knowledge of scoring in American football
- Basic arithmetic skills
NEXT STEPS
- Research advanced probability concepts in sports analytics
- Learn about decision-making strategies in sports based on expected value
- Explore statistical models for predicting game outcomes
- Study the impact of field goal attempts on overall game strategy
USEFUL FOR
Sports analysts, coaches, and anyone interested in the mathematical aspects of game strategy and decision-making in American football.