Sorry, it's not that I don't want to ...
OK, at time t we have N(t) particles. Within time interval dt the number of particles changes (due to the decay) by dN. The probability that one specific particle decays is simply p = dN/N. This probability is constant, it does neither depend on N(t) nor on t.
It does not depend on t b/c an individal particle does not get older. If it would, p(t) would increase with time (the probability of dying for human beings does increase with age), but for particles there's no good reason for that.
And it does not depend on N b/c the particles are independent, they do not interact (there are situations where this indeed changes, e.g. for the neutron inside a nucleus; a free neutron deacays, whereas a neutron inside a nucleus is stable for many nuclides; this is not what we are talking about; we do not compare different conditions for our particles). The probability does not change if I add another particle to my ensemble of particles.
So p = dN/N, dN = p * N = (const * dt) * N. That means that if I have more particles, I will see more decays per time dt. It's the simplest equation I can write down, there is no good reason why it should not work, ... so let's see where does this leave us ...
... hope this helps