Will China be the first country to return to the moon?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers around the question of whether China will be the first country to return to the Moon, focusing on the potential for manned missions and the priorities of different space agencies, particularly NASA and China. The conversation includes speculative reasoning about timelines and strategic focuses in space exploration.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants suggest that it is possible for China to return to the Moon, but acknowledge the difficulty in making predictions.
  • Others believe that NASA is theoretically positioned to achieve a return to the Moon sooner than China, depending on priorities.
  • One participant emphasizes that the USA is the only country that can return to the Moon, citing historical context.
  • Another participant argues that the phrase "We came in peace for all mankind" implies that any return to the Moon includes the USA's historical claims.
  • Some participants express skepticism about China's focus, suggesting that their current efforts are more directed towards manned space stations rather than lunar missions.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of views, with some agreeing on the USA's historical precedence in lunar exploration while others argue for China's potential. The discussion remains unresolved, with competing perspectives on priorities and capabilities.

Contextual Notes

Participants reference historical and philosophical aspects of lunar exploration, which may influence their views on current capabilities and future missions. There are assumptions about the strategic focus of space agencies that are not fully explored.

donglepuss
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I think so. What do you think?
 
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I guess you talking about people? It is possible. Hard to predict for sure.
 
I believe on paper NASA is supposed to get there sooner. It is really a question on whether it is a priority for China.
 
scottdave said:
I guess you talking about people? It is possible. Hard to predict for sure.
Yes, I’m talking about a manned flight.
 
The only country that can _return_ to the Moon is USA.
 
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Borek said:
The only country that can _return_ to the Moon is USA.
Reminds me of this:
Lewis Carroll said:

“Mad Hatter: Would you like a little more tea?
Alice: Well, I haven't had any yet, so I can't very well take more.
March Hare: Ah, you mean you can't very well take less.
Mad Hatter: Yes. You can always take more than nothing.”

 
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Borek said:
The only country that can _return_ to the Moon is USA.
How is it that you were the only person to notice this? I've been dropping the ball...
 
I disagree.
"We came in peace for all mankind"covers any return.
 
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hutchphd said:
I disagree.
"We came in peace for all mankind"covers any return.
That's only because there weren't any Moon creatures to overcome, exterminate or enslave!
 
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donglepuss said:
Will China be the first country to return to the moon?
Unlikely. They are working on a different focus: manned space stations, and to be honest, I think that's a more promising direction on the long run than landing on a hostile, dusty, useless planetoid.
To aim for the Moon would take ~ a decade for them.
 
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