Will China be the first country to return to the moon?

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the likelihood of China being the first country to return to the Moon, with participants expressing skepticism about this possibility. While some believe that NASA is positioned to achieve this milestone sooner, others argue that China's focus on manned space stations may be a more strategic long-term goal. The consensus leans towards the United States being the only country capable of a successful Moon return, given current priorities and technological capabilities.

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  • Knowledge of China's space initiatives, including their manned space station projects.
  • Familiarity with the geopolitical implications of space exploration.
  • Awareness of lunar exploration history and previous missions.
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Aerospace enthusiasts, space policy analysts, and individuals interested in the future of lunar exploration and international space competition.

donglepuss
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I think so. What do you think?
 
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I guess you talking about people? It is possible. Hard to predict for sure.
 
I believe on paper NASA is supposed to get there sooner. It is really a question on whether it is a priority for China.
 
scottdave said:
I guess you talking about people? It is possible. Hard to predict for sure.
Yes, I’m talking about a manned flight.
 
The only country that can _return_ to the Moon is USA.
 
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Borek said:
The only country that can _return_ to the Moon is USA.
Reminds me of this:
Lewis Carroll said:

“Mad Hatter: Would you like a little more tea?
Alice: Well, I haven't had any yet, so I can't very well take more.
March Hare: Ah, you mean you can't very well take less.
Mad Hatter: Yes. You can always take more than nothing.”

 
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Borek said:
The only country that can _return_ to the Moon is USA.
How is it that you were the only person to notice this? I've been dropping the ball...
 
I disagree.
"We came in peace for all mankind"covers any return.
 
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hutchphd said:
I disagree.
"We came in peace for all mankind"covers any return.
That's only because there weren't any Moon creatures to overcome, exterminate or enslave!
 
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donglepuss said:
Will China be the first country to return to the moon?
Unlikely. They are working on a different focus: manned space stations, and to be honest, I think that's a more promising direction on the long run than landing on a hostile, dusty, useless planetoid.
To aim for the Moon would take ~ a decade for them.
 
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