Recent content by fignewtons
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Using a recursive algorithm to find the value of a game
Homework Statement Imagine you are playing a game with me, of drawing balls from a box. There are two blue balls and two red balls. They are picked with equal probability, and are drawn without replacement. If you draw a blue ball, I give you $1. If you draw a red ball, you pay me $1.25. What...- fignewtons
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- Algorithm Game Probability Recursion Recursive function Value
- Replies: 8
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
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Generating correlated random variables via gausssian copula
Homework Statement I want to generate two random variables, one is normally distributed N ~N(10, 25) and the other one, E, is exponentially distributed with mean 1. I was not given a particular correlation coefficient.Homework Equations normal cdf, exponential cdf, inverse transform method...- fignewtons
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- Probability Random Random variables Variables
- Replies: 1
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
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Transforming Correlated Standard Normals with Cholesky Decomposition
EDIT_I noticed that I copied down the equation for C incorrectly because I looked up the incorrect Z_3,1. After the revision, I did get C~N(0,1). Thanks for the help! ------------------------- The Z matrix I got was $$Z = \begin{bmatrix} 1 & 0 & 0 \\ .3 & \sqrt{.91} & 0 \\...- fignewtons
- Post #3
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
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Transforming Correlated Standard Normals with Cholesky Decomposition
Homework Statement Given correlation matrix $$M = \begin{bmatrix} 1 & .3 & .5 \\ .3 & 1 & .2 \\ .5 & .2 & 1 \\ \end{bmatrix}$$ And 3 independent standard normals $$N_1, N_2, N_3$$ using cholesky decomposition A) get the correlated standard normals B) and if...- fignewtons
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- correlation probability
- Replies: 3
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
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Expected number of steps random walk
Ok I see what you're saying. But I'm still not sure how to write S appropriately given that the definition is only for a walk starting at 1. I just abandoned the notation instead for a more explicit and general one. Let Sa,b = min{t>0, Wt(a) = b} I get E[S1,0|R(1)] = E[S1,0 | X1 = +1 ]P[X1 =...- fignewtons
- Post #5
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
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Expected number of steps random walk
Ok I thought i was going to make the notation easier but perhaps I made it more confusing so I'm just going to quote verbatim from the problem. Given 1 > p > 1/2 > q=1-p > 0, let R(a) be the event that the random walk Wt(a) starting at a goes back to 0. R(a) = {Wt(a) = 0 for some t > 0, a > 0}...- fignewtons
- Post #3
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
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Optimal Stopping Strategy for Winning Game with Two Bells
Ok, so we can take Δt again to be a small number, just that t=0. And as Δt -> 0, P[B ring] -> 0- fignewtons
- Post #12
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
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Optimal Stopping Strategy for Winning Game with Two Bells
thanks for the hint. i think the quitting criterion tells you to quit or continue at end of Δt given you start at t. we want max Δt because playing longer allows for chance of winning more dollars, so the least t can be is 0 (which allows for the max Δt). In this case, t=0. so r(1-0)=r...the...- fignewtons
- Post #10
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
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Expected number of steps random walk
Homework Statement Let w(1) = event of a random walk with right drift (p > q, p+q = 1) starting at 1 returns to 0 Let p(w(1)) = probability of w(1) Let S=min{t>=0:wt(1)=0} be the minimum number of steps t a walk starting from 1 hits 0. What is E[S|w(1)]? Homework Equations I know E[S|w(0)] = 0...- fignewtons
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- Expectation Probability Random Random walk Stochastic process
- Replies: 5
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
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Optimal Stopping Strategy for Winning Game with Two Bells
Sorry for being thick, but I am confused, is the maximal winning r(1-t) as in the quitting criterion verbatim? or is it r(1-t) -1 since x<r(1-t) means it can never reach r(1-t) exactly, and since x is discrete and increases only in increments of $1. or am I completely off?- fignewtons
- Post #8
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
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Optimal Stopping Strategy for Winning Game with Two Bells
So the maximal x is just r(1-t)? If you decide to stop at any time t.- fignewtons
- Post #3
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
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Optimal Stopping Strategy for Winning Game with Two Bells
Homework Statement You are playing a game with two bells. Bell A rings according to a homogeneous poisson process at a rate r per hour and Bell B rings once at a time T that is uniformly distributed from 0 to 1 hr (inclusive). You get $1 each time A rings and can quit anytime but if B rings...- fignewtons
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- Expectation Game Poisson process Probability Stochastic process
- Replies: 12
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
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Urn problem (indisting. objects into distinguishable urns)
Homework Statement I have n balls and m urns numbered 1 to m. Each ball is placed randomly and independently into one of the urns. Let Xi be the number of balls in urn number i. So X1+...+Xm = n What is the distribution of each Xi? What is EXi and VarXi What is E[XiXj] given i≠j What is...- fignewtons
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- Probability
- Replies: 1
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
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Construct a Markov Chain: How to Generate Xn's Using the Sequence U0, U1, ...?
Ok fixed it. Step 1: let X0 = 1 if U0 ≤ ν1 let X0 = 2 if ν1 < U0 ≤ ν1 + ν2 ... more generally let X0 = s if ν1 + ν2 + ... + νs-1 < U0 ≤ ν1 + ν2 + ... + νs-1 + νs set n = 1 Step 2: If Xn-1 = 1 let Xn = 1 if Un ≤ P11 let Xn=2 if P11 < Un ≤ P11 + P12 let Xn=3 if P11 + P12 < Un ≤ P11 + P12 + P13...- fignewtons
- Post #16
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help
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Construct a Markov Chain: How to Generate Xn's Using the Sequence U0, U1, ...?
Ok after some more research I tried. Step 2: If Xn-1 = 1 let Xn = 1 if Un ≤ P11 let Xn=2 if P11 < Un ≤ P11 + P12 let Xn=3 if P11 + P12 < Un ≤ P11 + P12 + P13 ... let Xn=s if P11 + P12 + ... + P1(s-1) < Un ≤ 1 ...more generally If Xn-1 = s let Xn = 1 if Un ≤ Ps1 let Xn = 2 if Ps1 < Un ≤ Ps1 +...- fignewtons
- Post #14
- Forum: Calculus and Beyond Homework Help