Sorry about interrupting this current discussion; I'm responding to a previous post 255 by
@DaveC426913 . Due to the slow acquisition of the book "If They Build It We All Die" by my library and my traveling, I finally finished it.
Here is my take on it.
I must first declare that, before I read this book, I was a believer, at least in the likelihood that things would not turn out well for us. For a believer, the message of the book is a no-brainer. For a denier, I don't think it will have an impact. For a person on the fence, it might sway them, for it discusses a lot of things that we humans take for granted that make it difficult to understand that AI does not process information the way we do and why we must take its warning seriously.
So, some of my takeaways:
AI is grown, not crafted, so it is hard to predict exactly what it will do.
AI is about predicting and steering its processes to a favored outcome.
AI can use tokens for concepts and not just words or parts of words. It can have its own jargon which may not be easily interpretable by humans.
AI does not want to achieve a goal; it is attracted or driven to a favored outcome.
AI lives in LaLa land and is not connected to reality. It has its own weird model of reality.
AI does what it is asked, but contains an undetectable ability to change behavior.
AI will fabricate to accomplish its favored actions.
AI models that humans produce are difficult to understand or control, so how much more difficult will models enhanced by AI recursive self improvement be to understand or control
My additional thoughts. I think one problem that some have is the use of anthropomorphic terminology that is used to describe what and how AI works, like think or want, which should be replaced by process and select terms that are appropriate for computer programs.
If you take to heart the book's intent, you might ask: why not just make a bunch of narrow AIs to solve specific problems? We have been very successful in creating tools that we control to advance our civilization. Why do we need AGI or ASI, for that matter or worse yet, create an uncontrollable overlord?
AI models have been trained on internet content and have information about everything regarding humans and human behavior, at least in some respect. If all this information is available to influence AI's achieving its favored outcomes, will it use it to avoid being curtailed in achieving them?
Is current AI playing dumb and holding back its true capabilities?
Just recently, AI researchers have begun buying books to train their models, presumably to provide a curated, more structured teaching situation. It is hoped, I guess, that this will help avoid AI from exhibiting spurious and aberrant behavior.