Age of Universe: 14B Years - True or Assumption?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers around the estimated age of the universe, commonly cited as approximately 14 billion years. Participants explore the implications of this estimate, questioning the assumptions behind it and discussing various cosmological models and observations that contribute to this understanding.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants argue that the age of the universe is based on observational limits, suggesting that just because we cannot see beyond 14 billion light years does not imply there is nothing beyond that point.
  • Others counter that the age estimate is supported by various factors, including the cosmic microwave background (CMB) temperature and structure, as well as the ages of the oldest stars and galaxies.
  • One participant emphasizes that the equations of the standard model of cosmology (LCDM model) provide an age of 14 billion years based on current values of dark matter, matter density, dark energy density, and the Hubble constant.
  • Another point raised is that while our observable universe is 14 billion years old, this does not necessarily mean that everything began at that time; there may be regions beyond our observation that are older or will begin in the future.
  • Some participants express skepticism about the assumptions of standard cosmologies, particularly regarding spatial homogeneity, and suggest that our universe may not be a unique event in a broader context.
  • There is a mention of various hypothetical models, such as loop quantum cosmology and eternal inflation, which could provide alternative perspectives on the universe's birth and structure.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants exhibit a mix of agreement and disagreement. While some acknowledge the 14 billion-year estimate based on observational evidence and cosmological models, others challenge the assumptions underlying these models and propose alternative views on the universe's age and structure. The discussion remains unresolved with multiple competing perspectives.

Contextual Notes

Participants highlight limitations in current cosmological models, including assumptions about spatial homogeneity and the nature of the observable universe. There are also unresolved questions regarding the implications of inflation and the conditions necessary for it to occur.

Vexa
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So, supposedly the age of the universe is about 14 billion years. But the only reason we believe that is because we can only see something 14 billions years away. Do we just assume that just because we can't see past the 14 billion mark, there's nothing there? And by that assumption, shouldn't we be able to see the actual "Big Bang" if we look 14 billion years into the past? For all we know, the universe is 900 billion years old and some far away light just never reaches us.
 
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Vexa said:
So, supposedly the age of the universe is about 14 billion years. But the only reason we believe that is because we can only see something 14 billions years away.
No. There are other reasons; the temperature and scale-size of variations in the cosmic microwave background (CMB) are consistent with this age. Similarly the oldest stars and galaxies are about this age (both things close and far away). Also the level of structure of galaxies and galaxy-clusters (even more so) are consistent with this number.

Vexa said:
Do we just assume that just because we can't see past the 14 billion mark, there's nothing there?
Not at all. The visible universe only extends to 14 giga-lightyears, but there should be lots more universe out there (its hard to make/find an actual estimate).

Vexa said:
And by that assumption, shouldn't we be able to see the actual "Big Bang" if we look 14 billion years into the past?.
Yes we should. And we do. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/CMB"
 
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No, that's wrong. We take it to be 14 billion years old, because the equations of the standard model of cosmology (the LCDM model) give an age of 14 billion years when you use the accepted present day values of the dark matter density, matter density, dark energy density, and Hubble constant.

The fact that the furthest thing we can see is 14 billion light years is just a coincidence. The observable universe is actually larger than 14 billion light years, and in principle we could see things as far away as 46 or so billion light years, or so. (46 > 14 comes from the fact that the universe is expanding, so its size in light years is larger than its age in years)
 
As others have said, it is quite clear that our observable region is 14 billion years old. Note that this is not a statement that everything began then, just that our region did. There are likely things further away, and likely other regions which we cannot observe that began before or will begin in the future. But ours is 14 billion years old.
 
Chalnoth said:
Note that this is not a statement that everything began then, just that our region did. There are likely things further away, and likely other regions which we cannot observe that began before or will begin in the future.
All standard cosmologies say that everything began 14 gyrs ago; why do you think otherwise?
 
zhermes said:
All standard cosmologies say that everything began 14 gyrs ago; why do you think otherwise?
The standard cosmologies make assumptions which nobody seriously believes extend infinitely in all directions, such as spatial homogeneity. The various hypothetical models that we do have for the birth of a region of space-time like our own do not predict ours to be a unique event.

More generically, mathematically speaking it is vastly easier for an entire class of things to exist than for a single member of the class to exist.
 
Chalnoth said:
The standard cosmologies make assumptions which nobody seriously believes extend infinitely in all directions, such as spatial homogeneity. The various hypothetical models that we do have for the birth of a region of space-time like our own do not predict ours to be a unique event.
Interesting. Can you point me towards some papers on the subject?
 
Well, I'm not aware of anybody that seriously publishes regarding default assumptions in cosmology.

You can verify what I've said about hypothetical models for the birth of a region of space-time by reading up on loop quantum cosmology, eternal inflation, the string theory landscape, or Sean Carrol's arrow of time stuff. There are sure to be many other ideas out there as well.

As for the homogeneity point, just consider that our current proposed explanation, inflation, is supposed to explain homogeneity by growing a very small region into a very big one, meaning that any observable section of the original will be so vastly smaller than the whole that it cannot help but be homogeneous. This doesn't entirely work in detail, because inflation can't start with a region that isn't already pretty homogeneous, but the fact remains that we don't expect inflation to have started everywhere, just in a spot that happened to have the right conditions.
 

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