Animals' Instincts: Predicting Natural Calamities

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the question of whether animals can predict natural calamities, such as earthquakes and tsunamis, and the mechanisms behind such behaviors. It explores the potential sensory capabilities of animals and the reliability of anecdotal and scientific evidence regarding their responses to impending disasters.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Technical explanation

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants propose that animals may have heightened senses that allow them to detect natural events before humans do, suggesting that this is not instinctual but rather a sensory advantage.
  • One participant notes that the term "animals" encompasses a wide range of species, with specific examples like elephants being able to detect subsonic signals related to earthquakes.
  • Another participant references a study involving catfish, which showed increased activity levels prior to earthquakes, indicating a potential predictive behavior that could be monitored.
  • There is a suggestion that the focus should be on the physical capabilities of animals to detect signals rather than on the concept of instinct.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the nature of animal responses to natural calamities, with some emphasizing sensory detection over instinctual behavior. The discussion remains unresolved regarding the extent and reliability of animals' predictive abilities.

Contextual Notes

Limitations include the broad categorization of "animals," the variability in sensory capabilities among different species, and the reliance on anecdotal evidence versus scientific studies.

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Is it true that animals knew beforehand about the occurrence of natural calamities such as earthquakes and Tsunami?
 
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logearav said:
Is it true that animals knew beforehand about the occurrence of natural calamities such as earthquakes and Tsunami?

I believe there have been reliable studies that show that some animals under some conditions become aware of natural events before humans do but there's nothing "instinctual" about it, nor is it in any way mysterious. They just have better senses than we do and can detect some things (earth tremors, for example) more readily than we can.
 
"animals" is a really broad designation. Elephants, for instance, can detect subsonic signals and they have big feet, so they might be more inclined to detect the primary wave of an earthquake. But then again, a primary wave traveling through the air will not reach the elephant as fast as the secondary wave traveling through Earth.

Note that the "instincts" of the animal aren't much different from ours. Once we detect a catastrophic event we run, freeze, etc, whatever our adrenal response is.

The significant part is the detection, not the instinct. Do animals have the physical apparatus necessary to detect the signal? That should be the question.
 
During the most recent season of River Monsters, Jeremy Wade visited Japan and checked in with a researcher who was testing the Japanese lore that catfish know when an earthquake is coming.

To accomplish this, he just kept catfish in a tank, monitored their level of activity round the clock, and waited for earthquakes. Indeed, the monitoring devices demonstrated that their level of activity always increased dramatically in the hours prior to a quake.

Seems to me it's a no-brainer to jump to using catfish activity-level as a predictive tool.
 

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