DaveC426913 said:
But how does any of this illuminate the thread question?
I thought we had basically solved the thread question.
What in particular do you still want to know?
It mostly fits with my intuition. For a more comprehensive understanding, there are simulations of it. I'm satisfied with where we're at.
While I appreciate the effort to put formal equations to it by Ibix (and maybe that's exactly what you were looking for) it doesn't really do much for me.
Real life is messy.
I imagine the craft impacted, mixing with a bit of the asteroid, as the kinetic energy got transferred into thermal energy via shockwaves and compression.
During this process, it may have penetrated a bit into the surface of the asteroid.
This extremely hot cloud of gas/plasma then exploded, potentially taking a few chunks with it as the gas rushed outwards.
500kg of mass, 6.6km/s impact speed or so.
If we convert that to thermal energy of the craft, we come out at about 20,000K, significantly hotter than the surface of the sun.
Even if we mix two parts asteroid with one part probe, the temperature is still 7,000K.
The gas will then expand more or less equally in all directions, shooting off into space. I'd expect it to go several hundred meters a second, if not a few kilometres a second, but I've not done any fancy simulations of explosions in space, so who knows.
The nature paper I've linked below saw nothing faster than 500m/s.
If something is in the way of this shockwave, it may get ripped outwards with the blast.
This is where we can get a decent amount of momentum transfer, beyond the outrushing gas.
It's a little confusing that it moves to the left. My first reaction was to think it got hit from the right, but I think that's incorrect. I expect most of the debris to eject in the direction the probe came in on so I think the probe impacted from the left. (It's also possible that the viewing direction is more parallel to the trajectory than I expect. I'm saying left and right, assuming the probe came in somewhere in the plane of the image, but perhaps it went more "front to back")
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-023-06998-2
This paper has some really amazing images of the aftermath and it mentions having tracked at least two bits that moved off with somewhere between 30 and 100 m/s.
I suspect these are basically boulders/rocks that were ejected by "the bomb".
The speeds are actually pretty pityful, considering it was coming in more than 60 times faster...
It also says that the ejects plume had an "aperture angle" of 140°, meaning that the most oblique ejection if material happened at 140/2, so 70° angle with respect to the surface normal. Most of it shoots back into direction that the probe came from.
And it seemed to form filaments. I'm not sure if that material was liquid, solid or gaseous though.