Astronomers Measure Hubble's Constant at 68 km/s/Mpc | Space.com Study

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the recent measurement of Hubble's constant reported by astronomers, specifically a value of 68 km/s/Mpc, and its implications. Participants explore the context of this measurement, its historical significance, and its compatibility with existing models of cosmic expansion.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants note that the reported value of 68 km/s/Mpc may be a typo and suggest it refers to an earlier epoch's measurement (H(z = 2.34)) rather than the current Hubble constant.
  • Others argue that the Hubble expansion rate has been declining over time, indicating that the past value of Hubble's constant was greater, specifically at z = 2.34, where it was measured as 222 km/s/Mpc.
  • A participant uses Jorrie's calculator to compare the measured value of 222 km/s/Mpc with standard cosmic models, finding that it aligns closely with calculations of Hubble time from different cosmological parameters.
  • Another participant discusses the implications of the Hubble time estimates, suggesting that the current Hubble rate could be slightly larger than previous estimates from the Planck mission.
  • One participant questions the nature of cosmic expansion, inquiring whether the maximum Hubble constant occurred after a period of accelerated expansion, though they later retract their question, acknowledging a misunderstanding about the timeline of cosmic acceleration.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the interpretation of the reported measurement and its implications for the understanding of cosmic expansion. There is no consensus on whether the reported value is accurate or how it fits within the broader context of cosmological models.

Contextual Notes

Participants reference various models and calculations, indicating that assumptions about cosmic parameters and definitions may influence interpretations. The discussion includes unresolved mathematical steps and varying estimates of Hubble time.

chasrob
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I read at Space dot com that astronomers have made a precision measurement of Hubble's constant of 68 km/s/million light years and their (I'm pretty sure) paper says so.

222 km/s/Mpc? Isn't that triple the ~70 that most others have claimed?
 
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chasrob said:
I read at Space dot com that astronomers have made a precision measurement of Hubble's constant of 68 km/s/million light years and their (I'm pretty sure) paper says so.

222 km/s/Mpc? Isn't that triple the ~70 that most others have claimed?
I was confused by that too. I think the value given in the space.com article is just a typo. In the paper, they don't mean the current Hubble constant, rather what it was at an earlier epoch, H(z = 2.34).
 
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chasrob said:
I read at Space dot com that astronomers have made a precision measurement of Hubble's constant of 68 km/s/million light years and their (I'm pretty sure) paper says so.

222 km/s/Mpc? Isn't that triple the ~70 that most others have claimed?

Sloppy pop journalism. the Hubble expansion rate has been declining so it was greater in the past and they have measured what it was in the past (at z = 2.34)

"...we find DA(z=2.34)=1662±96(1σ) Mpc and H(z=2.34)=222±7(1σ) kms−1Mpc−1…"
 
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Let's see how well their figure of 222 agrees with the standard cosmic model in Jorrie's calculator.

If I paste this into google:
1/(222 km/s per Mpc)

I get that the Hubble time (back in the z=2.34 day) was 4.4 billion years (according to Delubec et al).

On the other hand if I but S = 1+z = 3.34 into Lightcone
I get that the Hubble time back then was 4.13 billion years. Close enough.
 
Jorrie's Lightcone calculator, in the default, uses the two model parameters 14.4 and 17.3 billion years as present and eventual Hubble times.
But you don't have to stay with the default, you can try varying. Those correspond to the 2013 Planck mission estimates, but it let's you select WMAP estimates (see the button at the top) which are 14.0 and 16.5

I happened to go to the WMAP option and then split the difference between 14.0 and 14.4 so I typed in and looked the case 14.2 and 16.5 billion years.

It matched the Delubec et al 4.4 billion year Hubble time (i.e. their 222 km/s per Mpc @ z=2.34

{\scriptsize\begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|}\hline R_{0} (Gly) & R_{\infty} (Gly) & S_{eq} & H_{0} & \Omega_\Lambda & \Omega_m\\ \hline 14.2&16.5&3300&68.9&0.741&0.259\\ \hline \end{array}} {\scriptsize\begin{array}{|r|r|r|r|r|r|r|r|r|r|r|r|r|r|r|r|} \hline a=1/S&S&T (Gy)&R (Gly)&D_{now} (Gly)&D_{then}(Gly)&D_{hor}(Gly)&V_{now} (c)&V_{then} (c) \\ \hline 0.299&3.340&3.0038&4.4009&19.410&5.811&10.562&1.37&1.32\\ \hline \end{array}}

So we could interpret Delubec et al as saying that TODAY Hubble rate could be slightly larger than what Planck mission says. Namely it could be the reciprocal of 14.2 billion years instead of 14.4.

A smaller Hubbletime corresponds to a larger Hubble rate. Anyone who wants to see what 14.2 corresponds to can paste this into google:
"1/(14.2 billion years"
and get 2.23160314 × 10-18 hertz and then convert that to km/s per Mpc
If I paste this thing into google, to do the conversion:
"2.23160314 × 10^(-18) hertz in km/s per Mpc"
I get 68.86 km/s per Mpc

So the Delubec et al result doesn't really seem much at variance with what we already thought. :biggrin:
 
Last edited:
So roughly 8 billion years ago H was 222 km/s/Mpc? As I understand it--and I may be wrong--there was a period of accelerated expansion before this. Would this mean when the acceleration ended, H reached a maximum and thereafter slowed? Is there any way to guesstimate this maximum of H (even very roughly) in km/s/megaparsec?
 
Whoops, I'm in error. The acceleration is in the future, so my query is meaningless. Last night was pretty rough on me.:-p
 

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