Avian Flu Pandemic: Human-to-Human Transmission and Its Impact in Montana

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the potential for human-to-human transmission of avian flu, particularly in Montana. Experts indicate that while there is no confirmed evidence of such transmission, the possibility exists, raising concerns about the virus's evolution and virulence. The conversation highlights the risks associated with asymptomatic carriers among birds, particularly ducks, which are natural hosts for the virus. Additionally, the fear of existing vaccines being ineffective against new strains is a significant concern among health professionals.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of avian influenza virus transmission dynamics
  • Knowledge of vaccine efficacy and immunology
  • Familiarity with epidemiological concepts related to pandemics
  • Awareness of avian species and their role in disease ecology
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the latest findings on avian flu strains and their pathogenicity
  • Study the mechanisms of viral transmission in animal populations
  • Examine the impact of asymptomatic carriers on disease spread
  • Learn about vaccine development and challenges in combating emerging viruses
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This discussion is beneficial for epidemiologists, public health officials, veterinarians, and anyone involved in infectious disease research and prevention strategies related to avian influenza.

Aquamarine
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It seems quite possible that human-to-human transmission of avian flu have occurred.

http://www.iht.com/articles/540692.html
http://www.helenair.com/articles/2004/09/20/montana_top/a05092004_01.txt

How bad is this?
 
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It is half true, half hysteria.

Immunising birds could also amplify the problem. I can imagine the horror of an infected bird, with no symptoms of the flu, being an active carrier and spreading the infection everywhere. And when the virus does jump to humans, it is already immune to existing vaccines. Hows that for fear mongering?
 
Jikx said:
I can imagine the horror of an infected bird, with no symptoms of the flu, being an active carrier and spreading the infection everywhere.

The only birds that have symptomes are usually the chicken and domesticated birds but the duck and relatives, these are the natural host, do not show symptomes since the virus has reach evolutionnary stasis. However, virus have recently evolved to be come more virulent in the duck and this is probably due to the mixing in another animal. We had a whole seminar 2 weeks ago with a avian flu expert and he explain all this. He was also saying that in the current pandemic human-human transmission had yet to be seen and proven but he had the same fear that the new virus in asia could be the next killer because it was highly pathogenic.
 

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