Bayes Theorem Redux: Self-Correcting Probability of Correctness

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The discussion centers around a self-referential theorem presented in an XKCD comic, which features a concept of "self-correction" regarding its own probability of correctness. Participants highlight the intriguing nature of the theorem, noting its fractal characteristics. The conversation also references Benoit B. Mandelbrot, emphasizing the recursive nature of his name as a parallel to the theorem's self-referential qualities. The use of Modified Bayes Theorem is mentioned, suggesting a deeper mathematical context to the discussion. Overall, the thread explores the interplay between self-reference, probability, and fractal mathematics.
jim mcnamara
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https://xkcd.com/2059

A new interesting self-referential theorem that "self-corrects" for the theorem's own probability of correctness. ?? Hold your pointer still in the middle if the cartoon for a few seconds to get P(C).
 
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And also a term to reflect the probability that I am using the Modified Bayes Theorem correctly. :biggrin:
Yay, a fractal theorem!
It reminds me of Benoit B Mandelbrot's explanation that the initial B in the middle of his name is short for Benoit B Mandelbrot.
 
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andrewkirk said:
It reminds me of Benoit B Mandelbrot's explanation that the initial B in the middle of his name is short for Benoit B Mandelbrot.
...but in a font 4.669 times smaller.
 

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