Bayes Theorem Redux: Self-Correcting Probability of Correctness

  • Context: Undergrad 
  • Thread starter Thread starter jim mcnamara
  • Start date Start date
  • Tags Tags
    Bayes theorem Theorem
Join the discussion
Ask a follow-up here, or get your own question answered by working scientists, mathematicians and engineers — people, not an autocomplete.
Real named experts · corrections over time · the nuance an AI answer skips
2 replies · 1K views
Messages
4,789
Reaction score
3,854
https://xkcd.com/2059

A new interesting self-referential theorem that "self-corrects" for the theorem's own probability of correctness. ?? Hold your pointer still in the middle if the cartoon for a few seconds to get P(C).
 
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: Stephen Tashi, StatGuy2000, FactChecker and 2 others
Mathematics news on Phys.org
And also a term to reflect the probability that I am using the Modified Bayes Theorem correctly. :biggrin:
Yay, a fractal theorem!
It reminds me of Benoit B Mandelbrot's explanation that the initial B in the middle of his name is short for Benoit B Mandelbrot.
 
  • Like
Likes   Reactions: StatGuy2000, Drakkith and BillTre
andrewkirk said:
It reminds me of Benoit B Mandelbrot's explanation that the initial B in the middle of his name is short for Benoit B Mandelbrot.
...but in a font 4.669 times smaller.