Bayes Theorem Redux: Self-Correcting Probability of Correctness

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on a self-referential theorem related to the Modified Bayes Theorem, which self-corrects its probability of correctness. Participants highlight the interactive nature of the theorem as illustrated in the XKCD comic, emphasizing the concept of self-correction in probabilistic reasoning. The conversation also draws parallels to fractal mathematics, specifically referencing Benoit B. Mandelbrot's work. This exploration of self-referential probability offers insights into the complexities of Bayesian reasoning.

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https://xkcd.com/2059

A new interesting self-referential theorem that "self-corrects" for the theorem's own probability of correctness. ?? Hold your pointer still in the middle if the cartoon for a few seconds to get P(C).
 
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And also a term to reflect the probability that I am using the Modified Bayes Theorem correctly. :biggrin:
Yay, a fractal theorem!
It reminds me of Benoit B Mandelbrot's explanation that the initial B in the middle of his name is short for Benoit B Mandelbrot.
 
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andrewkirk said:
It reminds me of Benoit B Mandelbrot's explanation that the initial B in the middle of his name is short for Benoit B Mandelbrot.
...but in a font 4.669 times smaller.
 

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