Better Hubble Constant through Parallax?

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the measurement of the Hubble constant (Ho) and the impact of parallax data on its accuracy. Wendy Freedman's research indicates that systematic errors in Ho measurements are now approaching ±10%, significantly reducing the historical uncertainty. The canceled Space Interferometry Mission (SIM) was expected to provide crucial parallax data for improving the extragalactic distance scale, but no subsequent missions have matched its potential. The conversation also touches on the implications of spacetime curvature on distance measurements and the relationship between the Hubble constant and dark energy.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of the Hubble constant and its significance in cosmology
  • Familiarity with parallax measurement techniques
  • Basic knowledge of spacetime curvature and its effects on geometry
  • Awareness of the Doppler effect in measuring astronomical velocities
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the latest advancements in parallax measurement techniques in astronomy
  • Explore the implications of dark energy on the rate of change of the Hubble constant
  • Study the geometry of the universe and its effects on cosmological measurements
  • Investigate alternative missions or projects aimed at measuring extragalactic distances
USEFUL FOR

Astronomers, cosmologists, and physics students interested in the measurement of cosmic distances and the implications for understanding the universe's expansion.

Subluminal
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in some methods for measuring Ho is now only a few
percent; with systematic errors, the total uncertainty is approaching
±10%. Hence, the historical factor-of-two uncertainty
in the value of the Ho is now behind us.
The above is taken from a paper by Wendy Freedman (http://www.pnas.org/content/96/20/11063.full.pdf)

In 1999, she wrote that the Space Interferometry Mission (SIM), a project primarily focused on mapping the Milky Way and finding other Earth-like worlds, would provide parallax data that could improve estimating the extragalactic distance scale and Ho. Unfortunately, the mission languished in cubicle world for years and was canceled last year.

I see why better parallax could reveal bigger triangles as years pass (as the sun follows its peculiar path relative to other galaxies) to check for error, but how does this lead to a better Ho confidence interval?

Have any other missions since provided the kind of extragalactic parallax measurements that was expected from the SIM? Has the estimate of Ho improved?

My understanding of spacetime curvature and the standard model is at a fair fraction of a Wikipedia unit (i.e. not very good), I can grasp the idea that on a cosmological scale in Cartesian coordinates, a right triangle would not quite obey the Pythagorean theorem, the hypotenuse would be longer (or shorter?) than expected due to this curvature. Dumbing down to this ballpark would be appreciated, thanks in advance. If not possible then go ahead, hit me.
 
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Great questions Subluminal.
Subluminal said:
I see why better parallax could reveal bigger triangles as years pass (as the sun follows its peculiar path relative to other galaxies) to check for error, but how does this lead to a better Ho confidence interval?
The Hubble `constant' relates the velocity of objects as a function of distance away. Thus to measure the constant, one must measure accurately both the velocity (usually with the doppler effect on emission/absorption lines), and the distance---by, e.g., parallax.

Subluminal said:
...I can grasp the idea that on a cosmological scale in Cartesian coordinates, a right triangle would not quite obey the Pythagorean theorem, the hypotenuse would be longer (or shorter?) than expected due to this curvature. Dumbing down to this ballpark would be appreciated...
A triangle on the surface of a sphere can have a sum of angles larger than 180 degrees (positive curvature); a triangle on a saddle can have a sum of angles smaller than 180 degrees (negative curvature); or a triangle in standard cartesian coordinates can have angles that add to exactly 180 degrees (0-curvature; minkowski spacetime / euclidean geometry). This is analogous to the overall geometry of the universe, and doesn't relate to the Hubble constant per se, but instead to the rate of change of the Hubble constant---which in tern relates to 'dark energy' and the 'cosmological constant'.
 

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