Art
The US position seems to be definitely shifting. Indirect acknowledgment of Hamas by accepting a unity Palestinian body is a big step forward. The $900 million the US are pledging to rebuild Gaza is another indication of a major policy change. It is difficult to see the Obama administration using all this US taxpayers money to build Gaza back up and then allowing Israel to destroy it again using weapons supplied by US taxpayers money.
Obama's special envoy George Mitchell has said in the past he wants the economic blockade on Palestinians lifted, a halt on settler expansion and the closure of so called outpost settlements. Since his appointment he has already dismissed Netanyahus so called 'Economic freedom for Palestine' plan
How Israel will react is uncertain. Undoubtedly they will try to delay and circumvent these measures and although they absolutely need US monetary and military support they will probably try to do as little as possible without actually seriously teeing off the US. There were unusually massive shipments of arms in the last weeks of the Bush administration which suggests maybe Israel has been stockpiling in case of a cooling of Israel/US relationships with the new US administration.
George Mitchell has also told all parties to the conflict a ceasefire is a priority of the Obama administration which again seems to put the US at loggerheads with the Israeli gov't who do not appear to want a ceasefire at this time. The Israeli chief negotiator was suspended by Olmert last week for his public criticism of his own government when at the last moment they added a new demand which effectively killed the Egyptian brokered peace talks.
A good analysis of the current state of affairs
Obama's special envoy George Mitchell has said in the past he wants the economic blockade on Palestinians lifted, a halt on settler expansion and the closure of so called outpost settlements. Since his appointment he has already dismissed Netanyahus so called 'Economic freedom for Palestine' plan
How Israel will react is uncertain. Undoubtedly they will try to delay and circumvent these measures and although they absolutely need US monetary and military support they will probably try to do as little as possible without actually seriously teeing off the US. There were unusually massive shipments of arms in the last weeks of the Bush administration which suggests maybe Israel has been stockpiling in case of a cooling of Israel/US relationships with the new US administration.
http://globalvoicesonline.org/2009/01/18/greece-outcry-over-arms-shipment-to-israel/With the war raging in Gaza, news reports earlier this month about the routing of an extraordinarily large shipment of arms from the United States to Israel through the private Greek port of Astakos caused an uproar among Greek bloggers. They used Twitter to investigate the matter and put pressure on the government to halt the transfer.
Delivery of the munitions was suspended, just as the Greek government was coming under fire from opposition parties, and Amnesty International was calling for an arms embargo.
George Mitchell has also told all parties to the conflict a ceasefire is a priority of the Obama administration which again seems to put the US at loggerheads with the Israeli gov't who do not appear to want a ceasefire at this time. The Israeli chief negotiator was suspended by Olmert last week for his public criticism of his own government when at the last moment they added a new demand which effectively killed the Egyptian brokered peace talks.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/feb/23/israel-suspends-ceasefire-negotiator"I don't understand what it is that they're trying to do. To insult the Egyptians? We've already insulted them. It's madness. It's simply madness. Egypt has remained almost our last ally here," he was quoted as saying.
He said the soldier Shalit would be freed quickly if Israel approved a list of names of prisoners to be released in return.
"Did they submit a list?" said Gilad. "Did they submit names? They're only busy insulting Egypt all the time. At first we submitted 70 names, and that's it. Since then, we've disappeared. Is that how they want to bring Gilad [back]? Because if they decide tomorrow to release the prisoners, that very same day we'll get Gilad."
A good analysis of the current state of affairs
In the absence of a formal truce the outlook is grimAfter weeks of shuttling back and forth to Cairo, Hamas and Israel had agreed to a halt in hostilities – a source of considerable relief to the international community, which was ready to get on with the business of rebuilding Gaza, reconciling the Palestinian factions and looking for new pathways out of the impasse that has frozen the peace process for the past eight years.
Then, at the 11th hour, the Israelis backed out. There could be no Gaza truce, they said, until Hamas agreed to release Corporal Gilad Shalit, the Israeli soldier held prisoner in Gaza since the summer of 2006. President Hosni Mubarak was livid: Shalit’s release was being negotiated by the two sides on a parallel track, and it was expected to come soon after a ceasefire agreement, in exchange for Israel freeing a large number of Palestinian prisoners.
The Israeli retreat is an ill-advised gamble, using the leverage of their chokehold on Gaza to press for the release of a captive whose continued detention is a symbol of humiliation in Israel. But it may be something even more alarming than a reckless roll of the dice: it could be a sign of just how dangerous Israel’s growing domestic political incoherence could become.
http://www.thenational.ae/article/20090222/OPINION/161849754/1080In the West Bank, meanwhile, many in the rank and file and the younger generations of leadership in Fatah view the Israeli election as having put the final nail in the coffin of the strategy pursued by President Mahmoud Abbas, of relying entirely on US diplomacy to coax the Israelis into ending the occupation. Plainly, there is no reason to believe that is going to happen in the foreseeable future, and the lesson has not been lost on Fatah members that Hamas’s confrontational strategy has actually forced the Israelis to make concessions that they wouldd never have dreamt of making to Abbas (the list of prisoners Mr Olmert had been planning to release to win Cpl Shalit’s freedom bears that out). Many in Fatah believe the only way for the organisation to redeem itself and begin to reverse its loss of support to Hamas is to return to the path of struggle, by confronting the occupation in the West Bank.
Last edited by a moderator: