Can the Born Rule Be Derived Within the Everett Interpretation?

[vanesch]

In fact however, you also know the crucial fact that you are able to reason about the fact that you are conscious, and about what that might imply. Since ants can't do that, you should be much less surprised that you are asking the question.

That only changes my argument in "I should experience the subjective world of an ant and not be surprised of my situation" . It doesn't explain that "I am experiencing a human subjective experience and am wondering why". It only explains that "those who are wondering why, must be humans"... and maybe we're underestimating the conscious abilities of ants

What I wanted to point out is that in assigning probabilities of our subjective experiences to different worlds, there is no a priori necessity to have them being given by a uniform distribution. I agree that it would be a "natural" thing to do, but if that gives problems with what is observed, I don't see what is so impossible to postulate anything different.

We are talking about assigning "your subjective experiences" to different aspects of the ontological physical reality. Nobody says that certain worlds, in this assignment, cannot have bigger weight than others. For instance, you could even postulate that worlds with high hilbert norm are "several times identically experienced". Why not ?

As I said in the beginning of this discussion, if "conscious experience" were to be strictly connected to a physical object such as a brain, we should experience a kind of "god's viewpoint" and have all these states in parallel.

The argument straycat used, with the two brain halves not communicating, can even be illuminating here:

Let us assume that it is possible to put a switch on the link between the two brain halves. Now suppose that YOU still have the switch closed, and you have a "normal" subjective experience of your body. Now, at a certain point, one flips the switch, and your two brain halves are separated. What do you think will be your subjective experience ? Left, right, or both ?

From the exterior, no difference can be made of course, and it will appear that the two brain halves have independent subjective experiences, and hard to say which one was "the original". But YOU will know. You will only experience one of both. Imagine to what you will feel when the switch is flipped... clearly you will NOT experience a god's eye view of BOTH halves, you will experience ONE of both and this will be the left one or the right one.

After closing the switch again, no difference can be made, because both brain halves will have recorded different souvenirs, and you will probably re-experience what you had before, with a joint memory of both halves without distinction ; so afterwards you will not KNOW which half YOU were.

But during the split, of course you will only experience ONE of both. Now, it could be that this is systematically, say, the right halve. But there is no way to convince the external world, because the other half will act in exactly the same way. But *you* know that you "went into the right halve". If this is systematical, then the probability is not 50 - 50, but 0 - 100.

 

[vanesch]

In other words: does the branching (world counting) happen at T=1 and THEN at T=2? Or does half the time it is T=1, then T=2 and the other half of the time it is calculated as T=2, then T=1?

"branching" in any MWI approach corresponds to the observer getting (FAPP) irreversibly entangled with environment, and this happens at an incredulous rate, independent of any actual "measurement" in the lab, which is just one little branching in this enormous amount of branching induced by the environment. But this "little branching" will have its results recorded in all its "descendants". So the measurement at T=1 will be one of these branchings, and have a lot of descendants with the result "up" in part of the arborescence, and the result "down" in the other part of the arborescence. Much later, at T = 2, all these descendents will again record the result "up" (together with the recorded result of T=1) or "down" and bifurcate further in an incredible frenzy of splitting, as imposed by interactions with the environment.

Now, the idea of many MWI proponents (but not me :-) is that all these branches are "equivalent" and you happen to experience only subjective ONE of them, "randomly picked out", while they give equal probabilities to each of these branches "for you to be in". And then, rats, you do not find Born rule probabilities for events, but rather the APP.

Now, the hope of many people is that if somehow you can introduce a CUTOFF based upon the Hilbert norm, that if you only count worlds ABOVE this cutoff, and let not count those underneath, and if the branching follows a certain pattern, that then in those worlds that are permitted to play, that you DO restore the Born rule. That's not really surprising, because worlds with a higher norm will have more descendants above the cutoff than smaller worlds, so when counting them, you kind of measure the original hilbert norm of the world at the moment of obtaining the measurement result. That is what Robin Hanson tries to do where the cutoff comes naturally from the remnant correlations in decoherence, which continuously mix (mangle) worlds of small hilbert norm. I find this an interesting proposition, btw, but he still needs a lot of as of yet unproven conjectures to get everything up and running (but I agree that it looks promising). One of the postulates that have to be added - I think - is that you cannot experience the "mangled" worlds. Ok, these are funny worlds which change constantly, but we STILL need to know why I'm not allowed to experience totally weird worlds. Hanson does give good arguments of why it would be natural to do so, but I still make a difference between what is "natural" and what is "postulated".

Nevertheless, my (lazy) point of view is that this is maybe not necessary, because the concept "the probability for you to experience a world" does not need to be uniform (that's what I'm trying to argue here). If you simply say that it is proportional to the Hilbert norm, then you get out (of course) the Born rule without any difficulty, and I fail to see why people go through a lot of trouble for not having to postulate that...

 

[Careful]

Read your paper : you might want to send it to Journal of Physics A.

 

[RobinHanson]

What I wanted to point out is that in assigning probabilities of our subjective experiences to different worlds, there is no a priori necessity to have them being given by a uniform distribution. I agree that it would be a "natural" thing to do, but if that gives problems with what is observed, I don't see what is so impossible to postulate anything different.

I'll continue to argue that if the physics is clear, there must be a right answer to the question of how to assign probabilities to branches. We might have trouble figuring out what that right answer is, but we can't just make convenient postulates. This problem is related to a more general problem that has received more attention, that of priors over indexical uncertainty. See Bostrom's book http://www.anthropic-principle.com/book/" . Uniform priors over possible discrete alternatives seems so far to be the best general approach.

 

[DrChinese]

So the measurement at T=1 will be one of these branchings, and have a lot of descendants with the result "up" in part of the arborescence, and the result "down" in the other part of the arborescence. Much later, at T = 2, all these descendents will again record the result "up" (together with the recorded result of T=1) or "down" and bifurcate further in an incredible frenzy of splitting, as imposed by interactions with the environment.
...

Thanks, Patrick. That exactly answers my question. A couple of other minor items - my apologies if these are a bit off-track:

1. Is there ever any interaction between worlds? Something to the effect of "interference" between them? Or, is there any mechanism to the effect that: equivalent worlds consolidate later (so there aren't quite as many branches) ? Seems like it would be nice to tidy things up later if that were possible.

2. In my question about T=1 and T=2: the branching as you describe makes sense to me. Would oQM have the Born rule applying in the same manner? I.e. the collapse at T=1 should occur objectively BEFORE the event at T=2? (Again, the events happen serially at the same place so there is no consideration required for different reference frames.) Or is this something that is generally not considered/discussed in examples of application of the Born rule because there is no apparent difference in the outcome?

In other words, it seems to me that the branching is something of a fundamental element of MWI: it would be "physical" even if not observable (because we only inhabit one branch at a time). Whereas in oQM the point at which the Born rule is applied affects our knowledge... but is somehow "less physical" than in MWI since nothing physical is actually postulated to occur at this point (even though the measurement has formal significance).

Thanks for any light you can shed on this.

 

[selfAdjoint]

In addition (or restatement?) of what Dr. Chinese asked, I would like to ask whether the relative Born probabilities might be determined sub specie aeternitatae by the total number of descendent branches (assuming no interaction or pruning).

 

[vanesch]

I'll continue to argue that if the physics is clear, there must be a right answer to the question of how to assign probabilities to branches. We might have trouble figuring out what that right answer is, but we can't just make convenient postulates.

I think that in any case, SOME postulate is necessary to link the quantum state to a perceived state if we are to accept strict unitarity. I think on the other hand that there are different esthetical criteria that one can use in order to judge, between observationally equivalent sets of postulates, which are more satisfactory than others. And, as I said, the uniform probabilities sound indeed rather "natural" ; but if that gives problems, I don't mind taking up eventually "less natural" postulates that lead to observed experience.

In the mean time I've been thinking, apart from the PP and the APP, about yet another "assignment" of probabilities of observation that not seem to contradict the postulates of unitary QM. I should check it, but I think that the "maximum length" world is ALSO compatible with unitary QM:

Take a finite number of "worlds" or outcomes or whatever, well, you will experience the one with the highest Hilbert norm with certainty. Let's call it the MPP (Maximum Projection Postulate). With the MPP, the resulting quantum theory is in fact deterministic: an observer will ALWAYS observe the outcome with maximum hilbert norm. This will of course also not lead to the Born rule, but I think it is just as well a logically consistent quantum theory.

 

[vanesch]

In addition (or restatement?) of what Dr. Chinese asked, I would like to ask whether the relative Born probabilities might be determined sub specie aeternitatae by the total number of descendent branches (assuming no interaction or pruning).

That is the holy grail of MWI proponents, but if NO pruning or cutoff is introduced, everything seems to point out that the number of decendents is independent of the hilbert norm and as such, the APP will result (which is kind of logical, if you apply the APP on the "lowest level" then it will "propagate upward"). If you apply the "born rule" to the "worlds", then you will get the "Born rule" also for the outcomes upward.


However, what people noticed is that if you apply the "APP" to an arborescence with a cutoff on the hilbert norm, that the NUMBER of descendents is (under appropriate conditions) then more or less proportional to the hilbert norm of the "parent" branch.
This is what Hanson (present here) tries to establish with his mangled worlds proposition, which introduces a kind of natural cutoff.

There are other propositions of different kinds, but as far as I understand, one always something extra to "prune" the APP in order to get out something that looks like the Born rule.

 

[vanesch]

1. Is there ever any interaction between worlds?

Normally not, because the different observers are entangled with a very complex environmental state:

|meseecatalive> |stuff1> + |meseecatdead>|stuff2>

here represented by stuff1 and stuff2. The idea is that stuff1 and stuff2 contain so many different degrees of freedom, and are (slightly) different, that they are orthogonal and will remain so for ever, under almost any thinkable unitary evolution. So all "interference" between both will have a factor (stuff1|stuff2) = 0 with it and hence be inobservable...

The only exception being if there is some "tagging" in the different worlds ; that's exactly what happens in EPR kinds of experiments ! Then the interference happens when the two "environments" finally communicate (through light or timelike channels), which will give us finally the "interference pattern" of the EPR correlations.

 

[mbweissman]

locality in branching

So here is my question: we have 2 entangled photons and perform a measurement on one at T=1 and a measurement on the other at T=2, let's assume they are more or less in the same location when the measurement is performed (perhaps we use coiled fiber optics on one so that the second measurement is delayed). These 2 particles were in a superposition. Can the measurement at T=1 be considered more fundamental in some respect than the one at T=2? I.e. did one "cause" the wave collapse while the other didn't?
In other words: does the branching (world counting) happen at T=1 and THEN at T=2? Or does half the time it is T=1, then T=2 and the other half of the time it is calculated as T=2, then T=1?
Also: is there any difference in how the MWer sees this as opposed to the orthodox QM view?

The branching order in MW is not important, fortunately, since the order of the events is generally not a Lorentz invariant. This issue is much less problematic for MWI than for collapse pictures. No choices are made in MWI, unlike collapse, so no superluminal communication is needed to keep spacelike separated choices coordinated in Bell-type experiments.

 

[mbweissman]

no pruning

That is the holy grail of MWI proponents, but if NO pruning or cutoff is introduced, everything seems to point out that the number of decendents is independent of the hilbert norm and as such, the APP will result (which is kind of logical, if you apply the APP on the "lowest level" then it will "propagate upward"). If you apply the "born rule" to the "worlds", then you will get the "Born rule" also for the outcomes upward.
However, what people noticed is that if you apply the "APP" to an arborescence with a cutoff on the hilbert norm, that the NUMBER of descendents is (under appropriate conditions) then more or less proportional to the hilbert norm of the "parent" branch.
This is what Hanson (present here) tries to establish with his mangled worlds proposition, which introduces a kind of natural cutoff.
There are other propositions of different kinds, but as far as I understand, one always something extra to "prune" the APP in order to get out something that looks like the Born rule.

Actually, my proposal involves anti-pruning, i.e. extra branching. There's an additional non-linear decoherence process which tends, in the long time limit, to make the average sub-branch (world) measures on each macro branch equal. Thus the limiting world counts on each branch asymptotically approach proportionality to measure.

 

[straycat]

... Indeed, given the "ontology" of the 4-d manifold in GR, one could then say that a brain is a 4-d structure (static and timeless) and your subjective world only "experiences" one timeslice of it.

I agree with this ontology

David

 

[straycat]

What I wanted to point out is that in assigning probabilities of our subjective experiences to different worlds, there is no a priori necessity to have them being given by a uniform distribution. I agree that it would be a "natural" thing to do, but if that gives problems with what is observed, I don't see what is so impossible to postulate anything different.

My stance on this right now is that we can, indeed, postulate the APP, or the Born rule, or whatever. In fact, for the last 80 years, this is in fact exactly what we have done! (postulate the Born rule).

So my argument for the APP is simply that it is a symmetry principle, perhaps a deeper one than most people have appreciated. Similar to the principle of relativity. So we should just assume it and see if any new physics suggests itself. (This approach has worked in the past, why not again?) If not, then we can go back to the old ways.

As I said in the beginning of this discussion, if "conscious experience" were to be strictly connected to a physical object such as a brain, we should experience a kind of "god's viewpoint" and have all these states in parallel.

I don't follow your reasoning. Assume that conscious experience is strictly connected to a physical object. So what do you mean that we should "have all these states in parallel?" Do you mean my consciousness should experience parallel, unconnected states? You seem to be implying that my consciousness should have access to god's viewpoint -- but this contradicts the starting assumption, that my consciousness is connected to (by definition) a physical object.

David

 

[straycat]

In other words: does the branching (world counting) happen at T=1 and THEN at T=2? Or does half the time it is T=1, then T=2 and the other half of the time it is calculated as T=2, then T=1?

One observer may see event 1 happening prior to event 2, whereas another observer would see event 2 happening prior to event 1. This is standard relativity for the analysis of spacelike separated events.

Now when you draw out the tree branching diagram, you of course have to know which event happened first. So you have to keep in mind that according to Everett's original proposal, all of your calculations are done relative to the state of some particular observer. If you pick (say) Bob to be the observer, then (say) event 1 happens first. But if you pick (say) Alice to be the observer, then (say) event 2 happens first. Therefore, each observer has his/her own "tree diagram."

This is why Everett called his scheme the "relative state" formulation. I have always liked this phrase better than "multiple worlds."

David

 

[straycat]

Now, the hope of many people is that if somehow you can introduce a CUTOFF based upon the Hilbert norm, that if you only count worlds ABOVE this cutoff, and let not count those underneath, and if the branching follows a certain pattern, ...

OK, I'm feeling a bit dense. What exactly is a cutoff? Above and below what, exactly? I mean, what is the parameter that we refer to when we say a world is below or above the cutoff?

David

 

[straycat]

... is there any mechanism to the effect that: equivalent worlds consolidate later (so there aren't quite as many branches) ? Seems like it would be nice to tidy things up later if that were possible.

Worlds can fuse as well as split, although the second law of thermodynamics implies that splitting happens "more" than fusion. See Q17 of the Everett FAQ:
http://www.hedweb.com/manworld.htm

David

 

[hbarnum]

Probabilities and preferences in Everettian QM...

Even if world counts are incoherent, I don't see that the Everett approach gives us the freedom to just pick some other probabilities according to convenient axioms. An objective collapse approach might give one freedom to postulate the collapse probabilities, but in the Everett approach pretty much everything is specified: the only places remaining for uncertainty are regarding particle properties, initial/boundary conditions, indexical uncertainty (i.e., where in this universe are we), and the mapping between our observations and elements of the theory (i.e., what in this universe are we). We might have some freedom to choose out utilities (what we care about) but such freedom doesn't extend to probabilities.

Hello Robin--- Seems reasonable to me to have a single thread on deriving the Born rule with the MWI, so I'll just go ahead and reply! Perhaps what I'm about to say is just rewording what you meant, but I'm not sure. Basically, I tend to agree that within the Everett approach, "we might have some freedom to choose our utilities (what we care about) ... ". Essentially, I'd argue we DO have this freedom (to choose different preference orderings over "quantum lotteries", and that *some* choices of preference orderings may be representable by an additional utility function attached to "decohered outcomes" (or whatever is chosen as "worlds"---definite experiential states, perhaps), plus some "probabilities" for outcomes---i.e. nonnegative numbers adding up to one. These probabilities function solely as a way of representing preferences over "quantum lotteries"--- evolutions leading to superpositions of decohered alternatives (entangled with the rest of the universe). So, they are not probabilities in the sense of standard classical decision theory. But OK, we can still perhaps "choose them" consistent with (a weak version of) "many-worlds". Choosing probabilities *is* choosing preferences, because what *IS*, is the superposition. These probabilties just help "represent" our attitude towardst that. What the "quantum suicide" style arguments point to is that it isn't clear our preferences towards such things shouldn't depend crucially on the fact that it is a superposition, and not a classical lottery... possibly not even be representable in "standard" ways as analogous to those towards a classical lottery. (Payoffs may appear to influence probabilities, for instance.) Who's to say this would be irrational? The Wallace/Deutsch style arguments claim that only a preference ordering representable by the Born rule and maximization of some (variable) utitlity function can be a rational choice in this situation, but I just don't find them convincing.

Incidentally, I've long maintained there was something "funny" about probabilities in the Everett interpretation, but Hilary Greaves and David Wallace have really helped me pinpoint it. I used to like to write as if the probabilities were probabilites of "perspectival" facts, i.e., probability that "I will perceive myself to end up in branch X". Howevever, all those perspectives are actually there (under MWI), in superposition, and ahead of time, there is no fact about which branch I will be in, and indeed, from the perspective from which the decision is made there will NEVER be a fact about which branch I will end up in, because "I" will be continued, having different experiences, in all branches. So it isn't really legitimate to invoke any part of classical decision theory under uncertainty here --- axioms that one might invoke that are formally analogous to those of classical decision theory, are just that: formally analogous, but having a very different content since they refer to quantum lotteries that have entangled superpositions, not definite but currently unknown, outcomes, as results. (This cerrtainly undermines one of Deutsch's original claims, which was to have used classical decision theory to derive the Born rule.) ["Quantum suicide" arguments say: suppose we face an experiment having one really desirable though unlikely outcome, while the world is destroyed if it doesn't--- then wouldn't you prefer that experiment to doing nothing? It's an outlandish situation, of course, but the point it makes is nonetheless worthwhile---- that having a component of something *definitely existing* in a branch of a superposition might be valued in a way very different from its occurence as one of many possible outcomes, a possibility we might want to take into account even in less extreme situations, and which might make it hard to represent nonetheless arguably reasonable preferences by expected utilities over worlds at all... ]

This summer, David Wallace and I were involved in a short "panel discussion" at a conference about the derivation of probabilities in the MWI. I argued that the "measurement neutrality" sorts of arguments involving claims that certain things (like the color of the dial on the measuring device, etc...) shouldn't affect the probabilities of measurement outcomes were analogues of assumptions in classical decision theory (about being able to condition different prizes on events without affecting their probabilities). But, I argued, unlike in the classical case, where we may make auxiliary assumptions about *some* beliefs (independence of likelihood of events from prizes conditioned on them, in many situations) and *some* desires (which prizes we like better), in the quantum case the whole question of how physics gives us probabilities is up for grabs, so we can't just assume that things that clearly are physical differences (dial colors, etc...) just CAN''T affect probabilities. The whole question is what beliefs we should/will assign. David (W) pointed out, though, that there is in fact no belief component here... it's all desire. He was right... and that's pretty much what I'd recognized (stimulated directly and indirectly by Hilary) in other contexts, and what I said above in this posts. Now, sure it's a bad theory to assume that dial color will routinely affect probabilities, and we'd be hard pressed to come up with a reasonable theory of its effects. But it may just be the case that *nothing* really forces us, in terms of pure rationality, to assign ANY probabilities in this case, from an Everettian point of view. There's going to be this superposition, or that superposition, evolving. You choose. What is the "scientific" question here?
Well, OK, you can say science must be a guide to action, so it better at least have some bearing on choice between quantum lotteries, otherwise what's the point. So, to make it (maybe) agree with our erstwhile preferences over quantum lotteries, the ones we had when we thought they had definite outcomes, we could just say by fiat, it should look like utility-maximization with the Born probabilities. Or you could say that the postulates that were hoped to be part of "pure rationality" are to be taken as part of Everettian quantum physics conceived of as a guide to action. But the "quantum suicide" arguments make one question whether one can even do that.
I guess this also relates to my other issue, about "reconstructing the history of science" in light of no experiment ever having had a definite outcome. What we thought were genuine probabilities of outcomes have gotten reinterpreted as perceptions of being in one branch of a superposition... I agree Everettians may want to reconstruct this process as one of discovering "the right sort of preference ordering to have over these superpositions", but, while perhaps not impossible, it strikes me as tricky to go back over a process of scientific reasoning based in part on definite outcomes and "bayesian" probabilistic reasoning, and justify it, or even understand it, in light of the wholly new attitude toward "outcomes" that Everettism represents.

 

[RobinHanson]

We DO have this freedom (to choose different preference orderings over "quantum lotteries", and that *some* choices of preference orderings may be representable by an additional utility function attached to "decohered outcomes" (or whatever is chosen as "worlds"---definite experiential states, perhaps), plus some "probabilities" for outcomes---i.e. nonnegative numbers adding up to one. These probabilities function solely as a way of representing preferences over "quantum lotteries"--- evolutions leading to superpositions of decohered alternatives (entangled with the rest of the universe). So, they are not probabilities in the sense of standard classical decision theory. ... I used to like to write as if the probabilities were probabilities of "perspectival" facts, i.e., probability that "I will perceive myself to end up in branch X". However, all those perspectives are actually there (under MWI), in superposition, and ahead of time, there is no fact about which branch I will be in, and indeed, from the perspective from which the decision is made there will NEVER be a fact about which branch I will end up in, because "I" will be continued, having different experiences, in all branches. So it isn't really legitimate to invoke any part of classical decision theory under uncertainty here ... in the quantum case the whole question of how physics gives us probabilities is up for grabs, so we can't just assume that things that clearly are physical differences (dial colors, etc...) just CAN''T affect probabilities. The whole question is what beliefs we should/will assign. David (W) pointed out, though, that there is in fact no belief component here... it's all desire. He was right... and that's pretty much what I'd recognized (stimulated directly and indirectly by Hilary) in other contexts, and what I said above in this posts.

As I said in post #64 in this thread,

This problem is related to a more general problem that has received more attention, that of priors over indexical uncertainty. See Bostrom's book http://www.anthropic-principle.com/book/" .

You are using "I" to refer to your entire tree of "selves" at different worlds and times. One can also use "I" to refer only to a particular self at a particular time and world. Such a self can be uncertain about which self it is. This is indexical uncertainty. Reasoning about such uncertainty is central to reasoning about the Doomsday argument, for example (see the Bostrom book). Indexical uncertainty is possible even when the state of the universe as a whole is known with certainty. So classical decision theory can be directly relevant.

You and Wallace and others are too distracted with the idea of expressing preferences over future actions. I instead want to draw your attention to back to physicists' past tests of the Born rule. We need a conceptual framework for talking about what beliefs such tests have provided empirical support for or against. The framework of indexical uncertainty seems to me a reasonable one for having such a discussion. Given a prior over indexical possibilities, and conditional on a many worlds physics, one can predict the chances of seeing any particular measurement frequency, and one can then compare that to the observed frequencies.

Within this framework, if one uses a uniform indexical prior, there is then a conflict with the Born rule observations. Without some fix, this would seem to be evidence against the many worlds view. (This is what Hillary Putnam argues in the latest BJPS.)

 

[straycat]

I've been thinking, apart from the PP and the APP, about yet another "assignment" of probabilities of observation that not seem to contradict the postulates of unitary QM.

The Born rule states that the probability associated with the n^th outcome is |a_n|^2.

So how about this alternate rule: probability = |a|^3? Or = |a|^n? or any arbitrary f(a)?

If we were to substitute |a|^2 with any arbitrary f(a), then would this violate unitary QM??

I should check it, but I think that the "maximum length" world is ALSO compatible with unitary QM:

Take a finite number of "worlds" or outcomes or whatever, well, you will experience the one with the highest Hilbert norm with certainty. Let's call it the MPP (Maximum Projection Postulate). With the MPP, the resulting quantum theory is in fact deterministic: an observer will ALWAYS observe the outcome with maximum hilbert norm. This will of course also not lead to the Born rule, but I think it is just as well a logically consistent quantum theory.

How about a Minimum Projection Postulate? Or, say, a "half-max" projection postulate?

David

 

[hbarnum]

On indexical uncertainty

You are using "I" to refer to your entire tree of "selves" at different worlds and times. One can also use "I" to refer only to a particular self at a particular time and world. Such a self can be uncertain about which self it is.
This is indexical uncertainty. Reasoning about such uncertainty is central to reasoning about the Doomsday argument, for example (see the Bostrom book). Indexical uncertainty is possible even when the state of the universe as a whole is known with certainty. So classical decision theory can be directly relevant.

Hi! I think I was mostly using "I" to refer to particular selves at particular times in that post.. though which self and which time depends on which point in the post. However, you're right that I was tending to reject an "indexical uncertainty" interpretation of probabilities in the MWI/RSI (RSI=relative state interpretation, my
preferred term as I notice it is of some other posters here too). Whereas, earlier in my thinking on these issues (I wrote a long paper rejected by FoP in 1990, which I never bothered to publish, maybe I'll post a scan when I get a website up), I had vacillated between viewing the probabilities as essentially similar to classical decision-theoretic probabilities, concerning something like what you call "indexical uncertainty", and feeling that this way of viewing them was somehow fishy. My way of interpreting the RSI is as subjective---the unity of an "I" being given by some sort of unity and structure of mental content through time--- just the sort of unity that I would argue is disrupted, except *within* each branch, by performing a quantum experiment. So there is only one "I" before the branching, lots of "I"'s afterwards, on my view. Actually it's a bit subtle since each "I" afterward is mentally unified with the single "I" before. However, I'll have a look at Bostrom's book, and at anything of yours I can find online, to see if it challenges this view. Bayesian approaches to anthropic arguments are something I've always thought would be interesting to look into, too. Thanks also for the mention of Putnam's recent paper in your post 64 (British Journal of the Phil of Sci?), which I'll look at as well. My views on uniform priors over discrete alternatives actually date back to a paper I wrote for an undergraduate seminar taught by Putnam... I rejected, and still do, the notion that there is a single natural "objectively right" way of dividing up the world into discrete alternatives, associated with a natural "objectively right" uniform prior. (Convincing Schack, Fuchs, and Caves of this, at a time when at least some of them inclined towards thinking there could be objective priors associated with e.g. group invariances (a la Ed Jaynes) is probably my main contribution to their evolving views on subjective probabilities and their attempt to view quantum states as subjective in a sense analogous to probabilities.)

Actually the main beef the referee had with my 1990 paper may be related to the issues surrounding indexical uncertainty. He or she didn't see how it differed from the Albert and Loewer "Many Minds" version that had recently appeared. I thought the idea of "Branching Minds" was quite distinct from Albert and Loewer's of "Many Minds with a measure over them", but didnt' bother to argue. (I didn't know about griping to the editor then...)

<quoting Robin Hanson again>
You and Wallace and others are too distracted with the idea of expressing preferences over future actions. I instead want to draw your attention to back to physicists' past tests of the Born rule. We need a conceptual framework for talking about what beliefs such tests have provided empirical support for or against. The framework of indexical uncertainty seems to me a reasonable one for having such a discussion. Given a prior over indexical possibilities, and conditional on a many worlds physics, one can predict the chances of seeing any particular measurement frequency, and one can then compare that to the observed frequencies.
<end quote>

Well, I'm reluctant to admit that's a distraction, because I tend to view the very meaning of the probabilistic "beliefs" that such tests provide, or fail to provide, support for, as inextricably bound up with the way they help structure preferences over future actions. But I heartily agree that understanding past tests of the Born rule... and I would go beyond that, to the whole process through which QM including the Born rule was adopted... is important to a relative-states-theory. I'm not so sure that it makes sense to do it solely "conditional on a many worlds physics", though, since on my view the reconstruction of the reasoning process should include how we got to a many worlds view at all. Nor, for the reasons I gave above, am I convinced that indexical uncertainty is the right framework for it... which is why I'm somewhat more pessimistic about whether it can be done coherently at all. But I'll do some reading before saying more...

Cheers!

Howard

 

[RobinHanson]

I had vacillated between viewing the probabilities as essentially similar to classical decision-theoretic probabilities, concerning something like what you call "indexical uncertainty", and feeling that this way of viewing them was somehow fishy. ... However, I'll have a look at Bostrom's book, and at anything of yours I can find online, to see if it challenges this view. Bayesian approaches to anthropic arguments are something I've always thought would be interesting to look into, too. ... I rejected, and still do, the notion that there is a single natural "objectively right" way of dividing up the world into discrete alternatives, associated with a natural "objectively right" uniform prior. ... I heartily agree that understanding past tests of the Born rule... is important to a relative-states-theory. I'm not so sure that it makes sense to do it solely "conditional on a many worlds physics", though, since on my view the reconstruction of the reasoning process should include how we got to a many worlds view at all. Nor, for the reasons I gave above, am I convinced that indexical uncertainty is the right framework for it... which is why I'm somewhat more pessimistic about whether it can be done coherently at all. But I'll do some reading before saying more...

My reference to "conditional on a many worlds physics" was meant to refer to setting up an application of Bayes' rule, for which one would of course also have to do the analysis conditional on other assumptions. That is, we want to compare how well the different approaches do at predicting the observed measurement frequencies. To do that, we need to get the relative state approach to make predictions, using minimal assumptions about utilities.

My quantum papers do not explicitly formulate these problems in indexical terms, though that is implicitly wht I have in mind. Bostrom's book and papers are more explicit about such things, though even he could stand to be more explicit.

 

[DrChinese]

One observer may see event 1 happening prior to event 2, whereas another observer would see event 2 happening prior to event 1. This is standard relativity for the analysis of spacelike separated events.

Now when you draw out the tree branching diagram, you of course have to know which event happened first. So you have to keep in mind that according to Everett's original proposal, all of your calculations are done relative to the state of some particular observer. If you pick (say) Bob to be the observer, then (say) event 1 happens first. But if you pick (say) Alice to be the observer, then (say) event 2 happens first. Therefore, each observer has his/her own "tree diagram."
This is why Everett called his scheme the "relative state" formulation. I have always liked this phrase better than "multiple worlds."

David

The times are different but the observer and location are to be the same so that relativistic order is not a factor.

 

[DrChinese]

The branching order in MW is not important, fortunately, since the order of the events is generally not a Lorentz invariant. This issue is much less problematic for MWI than for collapse pictures. No choices are made in MWI, unlike collapse, so no superluminal communication is needed to keep spacelike separated choices coordinated in Bell-type experiments.

Interesting... Vanesch thought the branching would follow the order. You are thinking perhaps the same, but that the outcome wouldn't matter (i.e. the distinction is not important). So follow this example and see if you still agree with that assessment.

In a normal Bell test (see how I cleverly come back to this ) you have 2 entangled particles. Measure Alice at T=1 at angle setting 0 degrees, and Bob at T=2 at angle setting 120 degrees. You get a .25 correlation rate regardless of the order (i.e. reversing the order does not change the correlation between Alice and Bob). This is standard to MWI and QM both (keep in mind that Alice and Bob are in the same location and reference frame).

Now add a new twist: 3 (or 4 or more) entangled photons. You would think that wouldn't change anything, but it might. Measure Alice at T=1 at angle setting 0 degrees, and Bob at T=2 at angle setting 120 degrees. You get a .25 correlation rate, just as before. But if we also measure Charlie at T=2 at angle setting 240 degrees, you will also get a correlation rate of .25. No surprise there either.

But in the last example, Bob and Charlie have a correlation rate between their results of .625, or over DOUBLE what we would expect! The reason this would occur (assuming that the rule is applies in the order of world branching) is that T=1 the polarization of Alice is known. Subsequent results must match this fact. The outcomes for Bob and Charlie - once Alice is known - are no different than if we had used light of known polarization to create Bob and Charlie. So where does the .625 value come from?

When Alice=+:
.0625: Bob=+, Charlie=+ (25% x 25%)
.1875: Bob=+, Charlie=- (25% x 75%)
.1875: Bob=-, Charlie=+ (75% x 25%)
.5625: Bob=-, Charlie=- (75% x 75%)

Add up the two cases in which Bob and Charlie are the same and you get .625. Note that the values in the first column are required so that the relationships between (Alice and Bob) and (Alice and Charlie) are intact.

On the other hand, if Alice's measurement is delayed until T=3, then Bob and Charlie will see the normal coincidence rate of .25 between them. So changing Alice from being the first observed to the last observed would cause the coincidence rate between Bob and Charlie to change.

I believe it should be possible to actually perform this experiment - it is similar to a multi-photon experiment performed (Eibl, Gaertner, Bourennane, Kurtsiefer, Zukowski, Weinfurter: Experimental observation of four-photon entanglement from down-conversion). I would guess - not entirely sure - that orthodox QM is silent on this point. It is hard for me to picture what the expected result should be.

In other words: if the predicted branching actually occurs in order, I believe this experiment should confirm the phenomena.

 

[mbweissman]

Interesting... Vanesch thought the branching would follow the order. You are thinking perhaps the same, but that the outcome wouldn't matter (i.e. the distinction is not important). So follow this example and see if you still agree with that assessment.
In a normal Bell test (see how I cleverly come back to this ) you have 2 entangled particles. Measure Alice at T=1 at angle setting 0 degrees, and Bob at T=2 at angle setting 120 degrees. You get a .25 correlation rate regardless of the order (i.e. reversing the order does not change the correlation between Alice and Bob). This is standard to MWI and QM both (keep in mind that Alice and Bob are in the same location and reference frame).
Now add a new twist: 3 (or 4 or more) entangled photons. You would think that wouldn't change anything, but it might. Measure Alice at T=1 at angle setting 0 degrees, and Bob at T=2 at angle setting 120 degrees. You get a .25 correlation rate, just as before. But if we also measure Charlie at T=2 at angle setting 240 degrees, you will also get a correlation rate of .25. No surprise there either.
But in the last example, Bob and Charlie have a correlation rate between their results of .625, or over DOUBLE what we would expect! The reason this would occur (assuming that the rule is applies in the order of world branching) is that T=1 the polarization of Alice is known. Subsequent results must match this fact. The outcomes for Bob and Charlie - once Alice is known - are no different than if we had used light of known polarization to create Bob and Charlie. So where does the .625 value come from?
When Alice=+:
.0625: Bob=+, Charlie=+ (25% x 25%)
.1875: Bob=+, Charlie=- (25% x 75%)
.1875: Bob=-, Charlie=+ (75% x 25%)
.5625: Bob=-, Charlie=- (75% x 75%)
Add up the two cases in which Bob and Charlie are the same and you get .625. ...

It's hard to follow the example in detail, but the result cannot be right. If it were, then remote choices of whether to measure Alice would change the Bob-Charlie correlation. With a steady source of these entangled particles, somebody on a remote planet (spacelike separated from our measurements here) could send signals to us by changing our BC correlations by measuring A or not. That sort of information-bearing superluminal communication creates causal havoc.
All sorts of similar multi-particle entangled experiments have been performed, and none give superluminal information tranfer.

 

[mbweissman]

agreed

As I said in post #64 in this thread,

You and Wallace and others are too distracted with the idea of expressing preferences over future actions. I instead want to draw your attention to back to physicists' past tests of the Born rule. We need a conceptual framework for talking about what beliefs such tests have provided empirical support for or against. The framework of indexical uncertainty seems to me a reasonable one for having such a discussion. Given a prior over indexical possibilities, and conditional on a many worlds physics, one can predict the chances of seeing any particular measurement frequency, and one can then compare that to the observed frequencies.

Within this framework, if one uses a uniform indexical prior, there is then a conflict with the Born rule observations. Without some fix, this would seem to be evidence against the many worlds view. (This is what Hillary Putnam argues in the latest BJPS.)

Exactly! Let's talk about real data, i.e. counts of past outcomes, not unmeasurable utility functions.

 

[DrChinese]

It's hard to follow the example in detail, but the result cannot be right. If it were, then remote choices of whether to measure Alice would change the Bob-Charlie correlation. With a steady source of these entangled particles, somebody on a remote planet (spacelike separated from our measurements here) could send signals to us by changing our BC correlations by measuring A or not. That sort of information-bearing superluminal communication creates causal havoc.
All sorts of similar multi-particle entangled experiments have been performed, and none give superluminal information tranfer.

Oh, I definitely agree that it can't work this way for exactly the reason you describe. Although the experiment still poses some problems with standard theory, that is a separate subject and I don't want to get away from the MWI focus of this thread.

My question was simply whether MWI took a stance on the ordering - it's not something that has ever needed a lot of thought. However, with the advent of new multi-entanglement scenarios I predict it will get some attention eventually.

 

[mbweissman]

branching ordering

My question was simply whether MWI took a stance on the ordering - it's not something that has ever needed a lot of thought. However, with the advent of new multi-entanglement scenarios I predict it will get some attention eventually.

If somehow the probabilities could be properly justified in a unitary MWI, I don't see why the ordering would have any significance. For non-unitary pictures, along the lines I suggested, this issue could be more serious and problematic.

 

[vanesch]

The Born rule states that the probability associated with the n^th outcome is |a_n|^2.
So how about this alternate rule: probability = |a|^3? Or = |a|^n? or any arbitrary f(a)?
If we were to substitute |a|^2 with any arbitrary f(a), then would this violate unitary QM??
How about a Minimum Projection Postulate? Or, say, a "half-max" projection postulate?
David

The f(a) must each time be re-normalized, but I think it is feasible. However, don't forget that probabilities assigned to a complete and mutually exclusive set of projectors defined over unitary quantum theory must satisfy 2 conditions in order for the system to be consistent:

1) they must remain invariant under a unitary transformation (so all functions of the hilbert norm and the number of them are OK)

2) they must give 100% certainty when EIGENSTATES are considered
(this is where your minimum or halfmax postulate won't do, and where the functions of the hilbert norm have to be such that this is true). This is because this property is a defining property of the hilbert space of states in the first place.

cheers,
Patrick.

 

[vanesch]

Incidentally, I've long maintained there was something "funny" about probabilities in the Everett interpretation, but Hilary Greaves and David Wallace have really helped me pinpoint it. I used to like to write as if the probabilities were probabilites of "perspectival" facts, i.e., probability that "I will perceive myself to end up in branch X".

I'm probably still in the same mindset of this "me" (not my body, but my subjective experienced world) ending up in branch X, and I'm not sure that this is a "wrong" viewpoint.

Howevever, all those perspectives are actually there (under MWI), in superposition, and ahead of time, there is no fact about which branch I will be in, and indeed, from the perspective from which the decision is made there will NEVER be a fact about which branch I will end up in, because "I" will be continued, having different experiences, in all branches.

What's wrong with "your current subjective experience-world getting into branch number 5 with probability X" ? I mean, a kind of continuity of the subjective experience, while the other branches are "new" worlds ?
I like to compare this to the following hypothetical (purely classical) situation. Imagine it is possible to make a perfect copy of your body. According to the above reasoning, the two bodies are two "I"'s. But you know that this is not true! You will go into the copying machine, and you will come out of it and that will still be "you" as if you went, in, say your car, or your bathroom ; the copy will be a totally different person, with exactly the same memories and so on, but this will not affect YOUR subjective experience.
Now, imagine the following situation: one proposes you for you to become rich, if you allow to make a copy of you which will then be tortured slowly to death. Would you accept ?
Again: imagine that one proposes for you to make a copy of yourself which will be made rich while the original you will be tortured to death. Would you accept ?
Would you give equal probabilities to both possibilities ?

 

[vanesch]

Interesting... Vanesch thought the branching would follow the order.

Yes, that's because you insisted that the optical fiber was wound up and that the two detectors were essentially in the same place. There is only a possible ambiguity in time ordering when the two events are spacelike separated. When two events are timelike connected (as I understood it was) then there is no ambiguity.

Also the branching only occurs with respect to the physical structure of the observer (considered "local"). There can be "common parts" which have nothing to do with it of remote physical structures:

(|me1>|closestuff1> + |me2>|closestuff2>)(|farawaystuff>|Joefaraway>)

is two branches for "me" and one branch for "Joefaraway".

If the unitary physics is local, then entanglement can only occur with stuff that is local (afterwards, of course, that stuff can be taken far away).

(|me1>|closestuff1> + |me2>|closestuff2>)|farawaystuff>

can evolve into:

(|me1>|closestuffgotaway1> + |me2>|closestuff2>)|farawaystuff>

and now closestuffgotaway1 can interact with farawaystuff

|me1>(|closestuffgotaway1A>|farawaystuffA>+|closestuffgotaway1B>|farawaystuffB>)+ |me2>|closestuff2>|farawaystuff>

but this doesn't affect me anymore: I'm still in two branches.