Conditional Probability (confusing)

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sampahmel
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Dear all,

P (A |B) + P (A c|B) = 1 [A c] denotes complement of set A and of course P (B)>0

Is the above statement true?


How about the following two:
P (A |B) + P (A |B c) = 1


P (C ∪ D|B) = P (C |B) + P (D|B) − P (C ∩ D|B)
 
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What steps have you taken in proving/disproving these?
 
first statement is true

P (A |B) + P (A |B c) = 1 is not true

if P(A) = x and A is independent of B, then P(A|B) = P(A|Bc) = x

i think the third statement is true
 
TIP:
[tex]Pr(A|B)=\frac{Pr(A \cap B)}{Pr(B)} \quad Pr(B)>0[/tex]
[tex]Pr(A \cup B)=Pr(A)+Pr(B)-Pr(A \cap B)[/tex]