Do These Probability Conditions Imply Independence of Events A, B, and C?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the conditions under which three events A, B, and C can be considered independent based on specific probability equations involving unions and intersections. Participants explore the implications of these conditions in the context of probability theory, examining both independent and potentially dependent scenarios.

Discussion Character

  • Debate/contested
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • One participant questions whether the equations $$P((A \cap B )\cup C)=P(A)*P(B)*P(C)$$ and $$P(A \cap( B \cup C))=P(A)*P(B)*P(C)$$ imply independence of A, B, and C.
  • Another participant provides calculations assuming A, B, and C are independent, showing how the probabilities can be expressed in terms of each other.
  • Some participants suggest that if A, B, and C are independent, the equations may not hold under certain conditions, indicating a potential contradiction.
  • There is a discussion about the implications of events having a probability of 0, questioning whether such events can be considered within the standard sample space.
  • Participants express uncertainty about the necessity of independence for the equations to hold, suggesting that they may be satisfied by coincidence in some cases.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on whether the given probability conditions imply independence. Multiple competing views are presented, with some arguing for the possibility of independence and others suggesting that the equations could hold without it.

Contextual Notes

Participants note the importance of considering events with probability 0 and the implications of such cases on the discussion of independence. There is also mention of the axioms of probability regarding the empty set and its measure.

Patt
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Hello everyone.
Let us consider 3 events A,B,C such that: $$P((A \cap B )\cup C)=P(A)*P(B)*P(C)$$ Notice that the second term is a union and not an intersection. Are they independent? And what if the assumption was: $$P(A \cap( B \cup C))=P(A)*P(B)*P(C)$$? I know that the independence condition requires us to check whether the probability of the intersection of each pair factorizes plus the probability of the intersection of all of them factorizes as well. But I do not know how to prove that they are/they are not independent Thank you.
 
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Hi.
If all A,B and C are independent
P((A\cap B)\cup C)=1-(1-P(A)P(B))(1-P(C))=P(A)P(B)+P(C)-P(A)P(B)P(C),
P(A\cap (B\cup C))=P(A)[1-(1-P(B))(1-P(C))]=P(A)[P(B)+P(C)-P(B)P(C)] and of course
P(A\cap B \cap C)=P(A)P(B)P(C).

I have no idea how you made assumptions.
 
Last edited:
Patt said:
Hello everyone.
Let us consider 3 events A,B,C such that: $$P((A \cap B )\cup C)=P(A)*P(B)*P(C)$$ Notice that the second term is a union and not an intersection. Are they independent? And what if the assumption was: $$P(A \cap( B \cup C))=P(A)*P(B)*P(C)$$? I know that the independence condition requires us to check whether the probability of the intersection of each pair factorizes plus the probability of the intersection of all of them factorizes as well. But I do not know how to prove that they are/they are not independent Thank you.
My first thoughts are:

If A, B, C are independent, then you can get an equation for P(C) in terms of P(A) and P(B). So, under certain circumstances your equation would hold.

If A, B, C are not independent, then the equation may hold by an arithmetic coincidence and it should be possible to construct an example.

I don't see that either equation you quote demands that A, B, C be independent or not independent.
 
PS My second thought is that if A, B, C are independent, you can't get your equation to hold. It's impossible.
 
You could start expanding using ## P(A \cup B)=P(A)+P(B)-P(A \cap B)## and then see what happens if the three are independent.
 
PeroK said:
PS My second thought is that if A, B, C are independent, you can't get your equation to hold. It's impossible.
What about P(A)=P(B)=P(C) = 0 ?
 
Stephen Tashi said:
What about P(A)=P(B)=P(C) = 0 ?
But this brings up the old discussion of whether we accept/consider events of probability 0. Would they even be in the ( standard, afaik) sample space?
 
WWGD said:
But this brings up the old discussion of whether we accept/consider events of probability 0. Would they even be in the ( standard, afaik) sample space?

One of the axioms of probability is that ##\emptyset## is a set in the probability space and the measure of the empty set is zero.

We can also consider the case A = B = C with P(A) = 1.
 
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