Conditional probability density function

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The discussion revolves around determining the probability density function for the amount of cash in a bank account at time t+1, denoted as X, based on the cash at time t, denoted as Y. The cash amount is influenced by deposits, modeled as a random variable Z with a log-normal distribution. The user seeks to establish a relationship between the conditional probability density function f_{X|Y}(x|y) and the deposits. A key insight shared is that f_{X|Y}(x|y) can be expressed as f_Z(x-y), indicating that X is the sum of Y and Z. This clarification helps in understanding how to compute the overall probability density function for X.
drullanorull
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Please help me with this. Any suggestions are greatly appreciated.
Imagine that I have a bank account. X is the amount of cash on the account at time t+1. Y is the amount of cash at time t. The amount of cash depends on the deposits made and on the amount of cash during the previous period. The deposits are made based on a random variable, Z, (stock returns) which has a probability density that is log-normal distributed. My question is what the probability density function for the amount of cash at time t+1 looks like.
f_X(x)=\int f_{X,Y}(x,y)dy = \int f_{X|Y}(x|y)f_Y(y)dy
My problem is how to relate f_{X|Y}(x|y) with the deposits.
Is f_{X|Y}(x|y)=y+f_Z(z)
So that
f_X(x)=\int(y+f_Z(z))f_Y(y)dy

Is this true?
 
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drullanorull said:
Please help me with this. Any suggestions are greatly appreciated.
Imagine that I have a bank account. X is the amount of cash on the account at time t+1. Y is the amount of cash at time t. The amount of cash depends on the deposits made and on the amount of cash during the previous period. The deposits are made based on a random variable, Z, (stock returns) which has a probability density that is log-normal distributed. My question is what the probability density function for the amount of cash at time t+1 looks like.
f_X(x)=\int f_{X,Y}(x,y)dy = \int f_{X|Y}(x|y)f_Y(y)dy
My problem is how to relate f_{X|Y}(x|y) with the deposits.
Is f_{X|Y}(x|y)=y+f_Z(z)
So that
f_X(x)=\int(y+f_Z(z))f_Y(y)dy

Is this true?

X = Y+Z. So given that Y=y, you want the density that X = y + Z = x, or Z = x-y. So
f_{X|Y}(x|y)=f_Z(x-y)
 
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