Euro vs US Dollar: Is it the Euro or the Dollar that is Low?

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SUMMARY

The current exchange rate of the Euro to the US Dollar has reached $1.54 for 1 Euro, raising concerns in Europe about the impact on exports. The discussion highlights that the Euro may be perceived as artificially high while the Dollar is considered low, influenced by the economic conditions in the US, including high credit levels and declining actual wealth. Ultimately, both currencies are affected, with the Euro's strength contributing to challenges for European exporters while simultaneously mitigating high oil prices.

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vanesch
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In Europe, people seem to be extremely worried about the high level of the Euro vs. the dollar (we reached $1.54 for 1 Euro yesterday). This kills European export, but on the other hand it saves us from very high oil prices.

Now, I'm wondering, is it the Euro that is artificially high, or is it the dollar that is low ? Because if at the same time the Euro is high, and the oil price is high (expressed in dollars), then it may simply mean that it is the dollar that is low.
 
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vanesch said:
In Europe, people seem to be extremely worried about the high level of the Euro vs. the dollar (we reached $1.54 for 1 Euro yesterday). This kills European export, but on the other hand it saves us from very high oil prices.

Now, I'm wondering, is it the Euro that is artificially high, or is it the dollar that is low ? Because if at the same time the Euro is high, and the oil price is high (expressed in dollars), then it may simply mean that it is the dollar that is low.
It's probably both. The Euro is high and the dollar is low - based on a subjective valuation of the currency.

Technically, the US economy is in trouble due to the high levels of credit at a time when actual wealth is declining.
 

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