Article : The Shadow War : Euro vs. Dollar

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SUMMARY

The forum discussion centers on the economic implications of Iraq's decision to switch from trading oil in U.S. dollars to euros, as articulated by economist Geoffrey Heard. This shift is viewed as a catalyst for the U.S. invasion of Iraq, aimed at maintaining the dollar's dominance in global oil trade. The discussion highlights the misconception of a "clash of civilisations" narrative, emphasizing that the West operates under a secular humanistic framework, contrasting with the religious motivations prevalent in the East. The potential repercussions of a weakened dollar on U.S. economic and military power are also underscored, suggesting that the war in Iraq was fundamentally about preserving economic control.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of global oil trade dynamics
  • Familiarity with U.S. economic policies and the role of the dollar
  • Knowledge of the euro's impact on international markets
  • Awareness of geopolitical theories, particularly the "clash of civilisations"
NEXT STEPS
  • Research the historical context of Iraq's oil trade and its currency decisions
  • Examine the implications of U.S. dollar dominance in global markets
  • Explore the economic theories surrounding currency shifts in international trade
  • Investigate the geopolitical consequences of the Iraq War on U.S.-EU relations
USEFUL FOR

This discussion is beneficial for economists, political analysts, historians, and anyone interested in the intersection of international relations and economic policy, particularly regarding the U.S. and European Union dynamics.

  • #31
Originally posted by damgo
I think the USA has such a successful economy mainly because
1) it has a stable, established government
2) it has a long history of relatively laissez fair capitalism
3) it has long-standing and trusted financial institutions
4) there is an expectation/culture of (relative!) trust that the system will work as designed (function of the above)
5) it has lots of natural resources and a big population

All but #5 also hold for most of the other highly successful modern economies -- Japan, Australia/New Zealand, Western Europe, etc. Siv, if modern US economic success rested on the use of the dollar as a global currency, why would these other countries be doing just as well? (or almost as well)

All the facts I listed should be easily checkable... which do you think are false?

Most of the rest of those countries do do well, because they are partners with the US, Trade partners, just like Canada.

But a better question, one that might reveal the answer you seem to be looking for, is why some of the Other countries do NOT do as well, that answer might just lead you to the realization of just "Why" it is so important, to the American economy, to keep the Greenback as the Fiat currency, in the Oil business!
 
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  • #32
For those of you interested in the actual consequences of the US account deficit and the currency OPEC uses, here are two good speeches to start with. Not as catchy or easily digestible as grand conspiracy theories, alas, but far more interesting IMO:

The U.S. Current Account Deficit
Gov. Donald Kohn, to the 12th European Banking Congress, 11/22/02
http://www.federalreserve.gov/boarddocs/speeches/2002/20021122/default.htm

The Choice of Currency for the Denomination of the Oil Bill
Mr. Javad Yarjani, OPEC dept head, Oviedo, Spain, 4/14/02
http://www.opec.org/NewsInfo/Speeches/sp2002/spAraqueSpainApr14.htm
 
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