Exponential distribution - inequality

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SUMMARY

The discussion focuses on the exponential distribution and the derivation of the probability inequality $$\mathbb{P}\left (\left |X-\frac{1}{\lambda}\right |\leq \lambda \right )\geq \frac{\lambda^4-1}{\lambda^4}$$. The participants confirm the correctness of the probability calculations using the cumulative distribution function and Chebyshev's inequality. They establish that the events involving strict and non-strict inequalities yield the same probability due to the absolute continuity of the exponential distribution's probability measure.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of exponential distribution and its properties
  • Familiarity with cumulative distribution functions (CDF)
  • Knowledge of Chebyshev's inequality
  • Basic concepts of probability theory and random variables
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  • Study the properties of the exponential distribution in detail
  • Learn about cumulative distribution functions and their applications
  • Explore Chebyshev's inequality and its implications in probability
  • Investigate the concept of absolute continuity in probability measures
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Mathematicians, statisticians, and students studying probability theory, particularly those interested in the properties of the exponential distribution and its applications in statistical analysis.

mathmari
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Hey! :o

We consider the exponential distribution.

I want to show that $$\mathbb{P}\left (\left |X-\frac{1}{\lambda}\right |\leq \lambda \right )\geq \frac{\lambda^4-1}{\lambda^4}$$

I have shown so far that \begin{align*}\mathbb{P}\left (\left |X-\frac{1}{\lambda}\right |\leq \lambda \right )&=\mathbb{P}\left (\frac{1-\lambda^2}{\lambda} \leq X\leq \frac{1+\lambda^2}{\lambda}\right ) \\ & =F\left (\frac{1+\lambda^2}{\lambda}\right )-F\left (\frac{1-\lambda^2}{\lambda}\right )=e^{-1+\lambda^2}-e^{-1-\lambda^2}\end{align*} Is this correct? How could we continue? (Wondering)
 
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Now I have an other idea. Do we maybe use Chebyshev inequality ?

We have that $$\mathbb{P}\left (\left |X-\frac{1}{\lambda}\right |< \lambda \right )=1-\mathbb{P}\left (\left |X-\frac{1}{\lambda}\right |\geq \lambda \right )\geq 1-\frac{\text{Var}(X)}{\lambda^2}=1-\frac{\frac{1}{\lambda^2}}{\lambda^2}=1-\frac{1}{\lambda^4}=\frac{\lambda^4-1}{\lambda^4}$$

But now we have $$\mathbb{P}\left (\left |X-\frac{1}{\lambda}\right |< \lambda \right )$$ instead of $$\mathbb{P}\left (\left |X-\frac{1}{\lambda}\right |\leq \lambda \right )$$ (Wondering)
 
Well done to think of Chebyshev.

The events
\[
\left\{ \left| X - \frac{1}{\lambda} \right| < \lambda \right\} \qquad \text{and} \quad \left\{ \left| X - \frac{1}{\lambda} \right| \le \lambda \right\}
\]
have the same probability because the underlying probability measure is absolutely continuous (with density equal to the exponential density with parameter $\lambda$), so the difference between strict and non-strict inequality does not matter.
 
Yep. All good.
And note that in general for a continuous distribution $P(X=x)=0$ so that $P(X>x)=P(X\ge x)$. (Thinking)
 
Great! Thank you very much! (Happy)
 

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