Find percentage of a sample given the mean and standard deviation

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Homework Help Overview

The problem involves determining the percentage of a population that consumes between 20 and 136 liters of beer per year, given a mean of 78 liters and a standard deviation of 25 liters. The context suggests a statistical analysis related to normal distribution and probability calculations.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory, Assumption checking, Mathematical reasoning

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Participants discuss calculating z-scores and using z-tables to find probabilities, with some questioning the assumptions of normality and symmetry in the distribution. There are attempts to clarify the calculations and the interpretation of results.

Discussion Status

The discussion includes various interpretations of the problem and calculations. Some participants provide guidance on using Chebyshev's inequality as an alternative approach, while others express uncertainty about the assumptions made regarding the distribution.

Contextual Notes

There is a mention of the phrase "at least" in the question, which may imply a need for caution regarding assumptions about the underlying distribution. Some participants note discrepancies in the calculated probabilities and suggest rechecking the problem statement.

maiad
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Homework Statement


People drink on average, 78L of beer per year with a standard deviation of 25L. at least what percentage of people would drink between 20 and 136L per year?

The Attempt at a Solution



I found the z-scores of both and they came up to be +/- 2.32. Compared these values to the z-table and got P(Z<2.32)=0.0102 and P(Z<2.32)=0.9898. Then i found the percentage as followed... 0.9898-0.0102 which is around 98%. Which is wrong. Is my assumption that the graph is symmetrical correct?
 
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maiad said:

Homework Statement


People drink on average, 78L of beer per year with a standard deviation of 25L. at least what percentage of people would drink between 20 and 136L per year?

The Attempt at a Solution



I found the z-scores of both and they came up to be +/- 2.32. Compared these values to the z-table and got P(-2.32<Z)=0.0102 and P(Z<2.32)=0.9898. Then i found the percentage as followed... 0.9898-0.0102 which is around 97%. Which is wrong. Is my assumption that the graph is symmetrical correct?

Sure, this is implicitly given to be a normal distribution, which is symmetrical.

First of all, your left-tail probability makes no sense as you wrote it. Shouldn't it be ##p(z<-2.32) = 0.0102##?

When you subtract those two, the answer isn't "around 97%", it's a lot closer to 98%. Did you try being a lot more precise with your answer?

Because of the symmetry, you could just as easily have taken ##p(-2.32<z<2.32) = 1 - 2\times 0.0102##.
 
Curious3141 said:
Sure, this is implicitly given to be a normal distribution, which is symmetrical.

First of all, your left-tail probability makes no sense as you wrote it. Shouldn't it be ##p(z<-2.32) = 0.0102##?

When you subtract those two, the answer isn't "around 97%", it's a lot closer to 98%. Did you try being a lot more precise with your answer?

Because of the symmetry, you could just as easily have taken ##p(-2.32<z<2.32) = 1 - 2\times 0.0102##.

You're correct. The left tail is wrong as you stated. But even with more precision in my numbers, it's still a fair bit off from the actual answer which is 81.40%
 
I wouldn't implicitly consider it normal unless stated. Anyway, one can exploit some of available probabilistic inequalities. Since the Chebyshev's inequality is usually taught, try this one, maiad. Most likely, you will succeed to get your "correct" value :-)
 
camillio said:
I wouldn't implicitly consider it normal unless stated. Anyway, one can exploit some of available probabilistic inequalities. Since the Chebyshev's inequality is usually taught, try this one, maiad. Most likely, you will succeed to get your "correct" value :-)

That actually does work out to the expected answer. And I think you're quite correct - considering the phrase "at least" in the question, they aren't expecting any assumption about the underlying distribution.

Maiad - please take Camillio's advice, Chebyshev's inequality seems to be what's expected.
 

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