Forecast String Research Citing in 2005: 11 or More?

[marcus]

Robert Ihnot (welcome!) added his prediction. Time to update. Now there are 12 people in the poll and our predictions are

How many recent string papers will get 100+ citations in 2005?

One better than last year, 9: Meteor
Same as last year, 8: Locrian and I
One less than last year, 7: Igor_S
Slump continues, 6: selfAdjoint, Berislav, Robert Ihnot
Yikes! 5 or less: Peter Woit, Ohwilleke, Chronos, Gokul, Spin_Network


Berislav at first estimated 7 but on clarification of the problem revised his guess to 6. The way the distribution shapes up is

9: 1
8: 2
7: 1
6: 3
5 or less: 5