Unfortunately I feell asleep again last night (Except sometimes on weekends I read paper in two situations; when taking a bath or before going to sleep as it's the time when I usually have the time).
Since I am not a philosopher I'm not much educated in various in history of ideas. The only two areas where I just read a few books are on the philosophy of science and the scientific method and the philosophy and history of emergence of more formal probability theory as a form of rational reasoning from the first irrational degrees of belief used in a less rational reasoning. Although I am aware of that lebnitz philosophy is quite different than Newtons, I am not familiar with that in detail.
Careful said:
Yes, with one small proviso. There is something replacing the objective state of the universe but every local observer reads it in a different way. It is his particular lecture which makes him identify the ''rest'' of the universe. So if this local observer makes a measurement, then not only do the other observers change, but they partially change in the way he sees them. This is fully democratical and doesn't distinguish anybody or anything.
Does this "objective state" enter into calculation of expectations?
I am hoping that your "objective state" is something that is evolving in a generally undecidable way, from the point of view of any real observer, with some darwinian elements.
If the answer is yes two both question, then predictions of any observer, would formally be a subjective expectations that more or less guides (not fully determines) that observers actions.
This is how I think of things, so if this is what you do them our thinking may be quite similar. (Though I'm still looking for the poitn of disagreement as you declare yourself as a realist, I'm as far from it as you can be I think)
Careful said:
But you have to distinguish the local information defining the observer itself and the nonlocal information on tangent space with respect to which he observes the rest of the universe. These are like Leibniz' monads: a personal mirror on the entire universe.
You mean distinguish between the mirror and the real thing (except the best view of the real thing we ever has IS the mirror image)?
If so , yes I understand what you mean there. But for me which is not a realist, the "real thing" is indistinguishable from the mirror, by the observer. It's just that of course each observer has their own mirror image. Now in my view, the inconsistent mirror images encodes the physical interactions between the observers. So what in normal mainstream models RESTORE the consistenct and some level of invarance or covariance is the transformation laws that scale the mirrror from one observer to theother one.
If would expect of a realist to picture that such transformations in principle exists, and are objective.
In my view, they are merely emergent. And each local group of observers will then at equilibrium agree with each other on this transformation law, not in the sense that they fully infer it, but that they evolve into a state of harmony PROBABLY just like the leibniz idea of harmony (although I'm not expert on leibniz so I avoid details).
The difference between such a "harmony" and FULL agreement in the realist sense is that the harmony IMHO at least corresponds to a special case: an equilibrium. The full agreement corresponds to some more (to me irrational) form of structural realism.
So I wonder if this realtest to your thinking, and exactly why do you label yourself a realist?
/Fredrik