How can I apply probability to the cosmological constant?

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SUMMARY

The discussion centers on the application of probability to the cosmological constant, specifically addressing Einstein's initial use of the constant in his Field Equation. Participants clarify that probability is relevant only in estimating errors related to the energy density of the cosmological constant derived from observations. The cosmological constant, initially set to zero, gained significance after 1998 when observations of distant type Ia supernovae indicated an accelerating universe, suggesting that the constant, often associated with dark energy, constitutes approximately 68% of the universe's total energy density.

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  • Understanding of Einstein's Field Equation
  • Familiarity with cosmological observations and redshift
  • Knowledge of dark energy and its implications
  • Basic principles of probability theory
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  • Research the implications of Einstein's Field Equation in cosmology
  • Explore the role of dark energy in the universe's expansion
  • Study the significance of type Ia supernovae in cosmological measurements
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Astronomers, physicists, cosmologists, and anyone interested in the interplay between probability and cosmological theories.

Shadowclan
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Hello! me and my friends were discussing a few ideas earlier this week and then we suddenly started talking about Einstein's biggest mistake. I was a bit lost because I am not all that familiar with the Cosmological constant and I was wondering how can probability be applied to that mistake?? I would love and appreciate some light in this >.<
 
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Shadowclan said:
Hello! me and my friends were discussing a few ideas earlier this week and then we suddenly started talking about Einstein's biggest mistake. I was a bit lost because I am not all that familiar with the Cosmological constant and I was wondering how can probability be applied to that mistake?? I would love and appreciate some light in this >.<

I have a masters degree in probability and I say that probability has nothing to do with the cosmological constant.
 
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Shadowclan said:
Hello! me and my friends were discussing a few ideas earlier this week and then we suddenly started talking about Einstein's biggest mistake. I was a bit lost because I am not all that familiar with the Cosmological constant and I was wondering how can probability be applied to that mistake?? I would love and appreciate some light in this >.<
Welcome to these Forums Shadowclan!

First, as Hornbein said, probability has nothing to do with the Cosmological Constant, except that is in the estimation of error in the evaluation of its energy density from cosmological observations.

However beginning from square one, a constant can appear in Einstein's Field Equation as a kind of integration constant - the mathematics allows it - and Einstein used it to obtain a static model (which later was shown to be unstable in any case).

Without such a constant the universe could not be static because it would be under the influence of the gravitational forces within it and tend to collapse, or if expanding it would decelerate and possibly then collapse.

Later Hubble's observations of galaxy red shifts showed the universe was actually expanding - as Einstein might have predicted from his field equation without the constant - it was this oversight that Einstein called his blunder.

Subsequently the constant was generally set to zero until 1998 when observations of distant type Ia super novae found they were fainter than expected and we inferred that the universe was actually accelerating in its expansion - so the cosmological constant did actually exist and Einstein was right after all.

The cosmological constant could be in the form of 'Dark Energy' and actually might be not constant and this is an active field of research today - all evidence so far indicates that it is constant and its energy density comprises of 68% of all the density of the universe - so quite important then!

I hope this helps,
Garth
 

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