How prepared is California for the Big One

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the preparedness of California and other cities for significant earthquakes, particularly the anticipated "Big One." Participants explore the state of emergency preparedness in various locations, including California, Chicago, New York, Seattle, Sydney, Auckland, and Hong Kong, considering the risks and types of buildings that may be affected.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Technical explanation

Main Points Raised

  • One participant expresses concern about California's readiness for the "Big One," referencing a recent earthquake experience in Los Angeles.
  • Another participant describes emergency preparedness efforts in Silicon Valley, highlighting the role of Community Emergency Response Teams (CERT) and Medical Reserve Corps in disaster readiness.
  • Some participants note that cities like Chicago and New York are at risk for high-magnitude earthquakes, although they may not be as likely to experience them compared to California.
  • There is a suggestion that people have more time to prepare for tornadoes than for earthquakes, due to the predictability of tornadoes.
  • A participant mentions that while no one can be fully prepared, higher-risk areas have developed plans to address potential earthquakes.
  • Discussion includes the idea that cities like Seattle, Hong Kong, and Auckland are more likely to experience significant earthquakes compared to Sydney, which is considered somewhat removed from major earthquake zones.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of views on preparedness, with some indicating that California is making progress while others question the overall readiness. There is no consensus on the level of preparedness in other cities, and the discussion reflects multiple competing perspectives on the risks and responses to potential earthquakes.

Contextual Notes

Participants mention various emergency preparedness initiatives and the likelihood of earthquakes in different regions, but there are limitations in the discussion regarding specific preparedness measures and the effectiveness of existing plans. The discussion also lacks detailed assessments of building vulnerabilities in the mentioned cities.

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how prepared is California for the "Big One"

I was in Los Angeles during the recent 5.4 earthquake and it got me asking - how prepared is California for the "Big One" that's supposed to come soon? Also, I've heard that cities like Chicago and NY are also at risk for high-magnitude earthquakes, even though it may not seem like it. How prepared are those cities, at the moment, for such catastrophes? I mean, what kind of buildings would be at risk?

What about in cities like Seattle, Sydney, Auckland, and HK?
 
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Here in the Silicon Valley area of Northern California (SF Bay area, South Bay, East Bay, Alameda County, Santa Clara County, etc.), we work hard at emergency preparedness. That doesn't mean that we are totally prepared, but we are working toward being as prepared as we can be.

Most of our cities have active CERT groups (Community Emergency Response Teams), which are trained by the local fire departments in disaster preparedness, light search and rescue, basic firefighting, triage, etc. We also have several Medical Reserve Corps groups, which will be providing medical assistance to the city resources after a disaster. We have some very active HAM radio groups, who train and drill with the CERT groups and the city EOCs (Emergency Operations Centers), as well as conducting our own communication activities.

We are pretty well prepared now, and working hard toward being even better prepared for the next big earthquake. The Hayward Fault, which runs through the East Bay Area (where I live) is due for a pretty big quake here soon. It has a pretty regular quake schedule, and it is just about time...

http://www.medicalreservecorps.gov/HomePage

http://www.newarkcert.com/

http://www.redcrossbayarea.org/pba/

.
 
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I think, as far 'when it does happen' , people have/get more time to personally ready themselves for tornadoes as they're still more 'forecastable' than earthquakes, even in the 'minutes' area.
 


hammertime said:
I was in Los Angeles during the recent 5.4 earthquake and it got me asking - how prepared is California for the "Big One" that's supposed to come soon? Also, I've heard that cities like Chicago and NY are also at risk for high-magnitude earthquakes, even though it may not seem like it. How prepared are those cities, at the moment, for such catastrophes? I mean, what kind of buildings would be at risk?

What about in cities like Seattle, Sydney, Auckland, and HK?

No one is ever really prepared one supposes. But certainly higher risk areas have surely developed plans to deal with what may come.

Chicago and New York are not quite as likely for the kind mid-plate quakes like the New Madrid style quake in the 1800's as those are fairly infrequent though still a possibility.

Here is an interesting link about earthquakes:
http://www.seismo.unr.edu/ftp/pub/louie/class/100/plate-tectonics.html

As you can see from the map Seattle, HK and Auckland are more likely than Sydney which is somewhat removed from the prime areas of earthquake presentation along the plate edge.
 

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