Here are the forecasts we made in September about the Smolin/string salesrank ratio as of noon on 1 October (pacific time). https://www.physicsforums.com/poll.php?do=showresults&pollid=1171 The prediction of Hurk4 (which seemed quite unreasonable to me at the time) turned out to be right after all! On 1 October the actual ratio turned out to be 6.5, and he had predicted 6. Congratulations Hurk! If the above link doesn't work, try https://www.physicsforums.com/showthread.php?t=182206 which gives the poll thread and discussion. Hurk lives in the Netherlands and says his interests are physics, music, theater,... family, friends, and nature. I understand he is retired from Philips Eindhoven (a solid-state physicist friend of mind worked there and met his wife in Eindhoven. He told me good things about the lab and the town.) Hurk has a quote from the French scientist Lavoisier that I like: Nothing is created or destroyed---everything is process. That must include you and me. We are each of us processes. And so is the universe. There are no fixed entities with fixed properties and qualities----this is an idea that arises from our language, I suppose, or from the way our brains have evolved. Rien ne se cree, rien ne se perd, tout est transformation (Lavoisier) https://www.physicsforums.com/member.php?u=30536 ====================== Anybody, what do you think the salesrank ratio will be at the same time (noon pacific) on 1 November? This is the ratio which compares the Amazon salesrank of The Trouble with Physics...and What Comes Next with the average rank of the five most popular string books at that moment. I tracked this ratio February-May, for four months earlier this year to get a kind of baseline normal idea of it. It was fairly steady around its average value of 2.5 during those four months. That is "Trouble" was selling about 2.5 times better, judging by salesrank, than the average topfive string book, which served us as a kind of benchmark. So in the poll, I guessed the ratio would be closest to 2, Arivero said 4, which I thought was already way too optimistic. Hurk4 said six---totally incomprehensible at the time. But that is how it turned out. This month we have a new game. I am still betting that the ratio will settle down to 2 or 3, where it was much of the time earlier this year. That seems like a natural place to me. But you may think differently. What is your prediction?