- #1

Wi_N

- 119

- 8

- TL;DR Summary
- Regarding match fixing in a wrestling tournament.

I'll try to keep this short. Kazakhstan just hosted the world championship wrestling tournament and I noticed that they did exceptionally well this time around, hometown psychological advantage aside they finished in 2nd place. Last year they finished 13th in Budapest. So immediately I knew something was wrong. And i figured it out. In the brackets draw for the 10 weight classes, they drew 8 straight brackets with no Russian wrestler in them (Russian wrestlers are the best). The last 2 weight classes 97kg and 130kg wouldn't have made a difference for them if a Russian was there or not, I won't go into why that is.

So some simple math, heads or tails i drew the conclusion that the odds of Kazakhstan drawing a bracket TOP or BOTTOM with no Russian in them has to be 1 in 128. Now this is heavily simplified I'm sure as some brackets had more competitors in them. But usually a weight class has about 32-24 wrestlers in them, in an elimination tournament setup. What are the odds of 2 countries not drawing the same bracket 8 times in a row? Please remember there are only 2 Brackets TOP and Bottom.

So some simple math, heads or tails i drew the conclusion that the odds of Kazakhstan drawing a bracket TOP or BOTTOM with no Russian in them has to be 1 in 128. Now this is heavily simplified I'm sure as some brackets had more competitors in them. But usually a weight class has about 32-24 wrestlers in them, in an elimination tournament setup. What are the odds of 2 countries not drawing the same bracket 8 times in a row? Please remember there are only 2 Brackets TOP and Bottom.