Implied Correlation: Var(a/c) Formula Explained

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The discussion focuses on the implied correlation formula for FX options, specifically how to derive and manipulate the variance equations. The user seeks clarification on the relationship between the variance of different ratios and the correlation terms involved. A key point is the correct interpretation of the variance formula, particularly regarding the signs in the equations. The response emphasizes the importance of properly defining random variables to avoid confusion in notation. Understanding these relationships is crucial for accurate calculations in financial modeling.
volplayer
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Hi,

Haven't studied math for a while and thought I'd ask you for help. It regards implied correlation based on implied volatility for FX options.

(b/c)=(a/c)/(a/b)

Var(b/c) = Var(a/c)+Var(a/b) - 2*Sigma(a/c)*Sigma(a/b)*Corr(a/c,a/b)

When breaking out the Corr(a/c,a/b) from the formula, we get the following:

Corr(a/c,a/b) = (Var(a/c)+Var(a/b)-Var(b/c)) / (2*Sigma(a/c)*Sigma(a/b))

Now let's break out (a/c)

(a/c) = (b/c) * (a/b)

Now I have understood that the Corr(b/c,a/b) formula is the following

Corr(b/c,a/b) = (Var(a/c)-Var(b/c)-Var(a/b)) / (2*Sigma(b/c)*Sigma(a/b))

Does this mean the Var(a/c) formula is like the following

Var(a/c) = Var(b/c)+Var(a/b) + 2*Sigma(b/c)*Sigma(a/b)*Corr(b/c,a/b) ?

I.e. you have a PLUS instead of a MINUS infront of the 2*Sigma*Sigma*Corr part?


Happy if someone could answer this.
 
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The minus sign is correct. What we have here is just a version of the law of cosines although your notation as fractions is very confusing. Try to determine your random variables in a proper way first.
 
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