Independent events in probabilities

Click For Summary
SUMMARY

The discussion centers on determining the independence of events A, B, and C derived from rolling a single die, where A={1,2,3,4}, B={2,3,4}, and C={3,4,5}. The calculated probabilities are P(A)=2/3, P(B)=1/2, and P(C)=1/2. The independence condition is evaluated using the formulas P(A|B)=P(A) and P(A&B)=P(A)*P(B). Despite initial calculations suggesting no pairs are independent, the conclusion is that (A,C) is indeed independent, as confirmed by the textbook.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of probability concepts, specifically conditional probability.
  • Familiarity with the independence of events in probability theory.
  • Basic knowledge of set theory as it applies to sample spaces.
  • Ability to perform calculations involving probabilities and events.
NEXT STEPS
  • Review the concept of conditional probability in depth.
  • Study the independence of events with examples beyond simple dice rolls.
  • Learn about joint probability distributions and their applications.
  • Explore the implications of dependent vs. independent events in real-world scenarios.
USEFUL FOR

Students studying probability theory, educators teaching statistics, and anyone interested in understanding the principles of independent events in probability.

stevecallaway
Messages
21
Reaction score
0

Homework Statement


Let S be the sample space for rolling a single die. Let A={1,2,3,4}, B={2,3,4}, and C={3,4,5}. Which of the pairs (A,B), (A,C), and (B,C) is independent?


Homework Equations


P(A|B)=P(A)
P(A|B)=P(A&B)/P(B)
P(A&B)=P(A)*P(B)

The Attempt at a Solution


P(A)=2/3 P(B)=1/2 P(C)=1/2
P(A&B)=P(A)*P(B)=(2/3)(1/2)=1/3 P(A&B)/P(B)=(1/3)/(1/2)=1/6
P(A&C)=1/3 P(A&C)/P(C)=(1/3)/(1/2)=1/6
P(B&C)=1/4 P(B&C)/P(C)=(1/4)/(1/2)=1/8

So based on my calculations, there is none of the pairs which match the independence rule. But the book says that (A,C) is independent.
 
Physics news on Phys.org
stevecallaway said:

Homework Statement


Let S be the sample space for rolling a single die. Let A={1,2,3,4}, B={2,3,4}, and C={3,4,5}. Which of the pairs (A,B), (A,C), and (B,C) is independent?


Homework Equations


P(A|B)=P(A)
P(A|B)=P(A&B)/P(B)
P(A&B)=P(A)*P(B)
The first and third equations only hold when A and B are independent. The second equation holds generally.

The Attempt at a Solution


P(A)=2/3 P(B)=1/2 P(C)=1/2
P(A&B)=P(A)*P(B)=(2/3)(1/2)=1/3 P(A&B)/P(B)=(1/3)/(1/2)=1/6
P(A&C)=1/3 P(A&C)/P(C)=(1/3)/(1/2)=1/6
P(B&C)=1/4 P(B&C)/P(C)=(1/4)/(1/2)=1/8

So based on my calculations, there is none of the pairs which match the independence rule. But the book says that (A,C) is independent.
You can't ignore the outcomes included in each set. For example, if events A and B are both true, that means that you rolled a 2, 3, or 4, so P(A&B)=1/2.
 

Similar threads

  • · Replies 7 ·
Replies
7
Views
2K
Replies
4
Views
5K
  • · Replies 5 ·
Replies
5
Views
4K
Replies
5
Views
3K
  • · Replies 18 ·
Replies
18
Views
3K
  • · Replies 2 ·
Replies
2
Views
3K
  • · Replies 7 ·
Replies
7
Views
2K
Replies
8
Views
2K
  • · Replies 3 ·
Replies
3
Views
3K
  • · Replies 7 ·
Replies
7
Views
2K