Is Conditional Probability influenced by Consecutivity?

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SUMMARY

This discussion centers on the influence of consecutivity on conditional probability when rolling a die. It establishes that the probability of rolling four consecutive eights ("8888") is equivalent to rolling a specific non-consecutive sequence like "0248", provided the latter is rolled in the specified order. The analysis highlights that while "8888" has only one possible arrangement, "0248" can occur in multiple permutations (4!), emphasizing the role of order in calculating probabilities. The assumption of independent die rolls and equal likelihood for each outcome is critical to this conclusion.

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kashmir0109
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What I mean by this is,
Say I roll a die, given the specific condition that I get four eights consecutively such as
"8888",
the same probability as if I give the specific condition that I get another specific non-consecutive number such as?
"0248"



Thanks
 
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The probability for the two events would be the same, given that the 0248 must be rolled in that order. However, if not, then there are 4! ways 0248 can be rolled, vs just 1 way 8888 can be rolled.
 
kashmir0109 said:
What I mean by this is,
Say I roll a die, given the specific condition that I get four eights consecutively such as
"8888",
the same probability as if I give the specific condition that I get another specific non-consecutive number such as?
"0248"



Thanks


That is correct. Of course, we assume that each number has the same chance of coming up and that the die rolls are independent.
 

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