Is the Probability Formula P(C∩G) = P(G)P(C|G) Correct?

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Homework Help Overview

The discussion revolves around the probability formula P(C∩G) = P(G)P(C|G) and whether it is correctly stated in the context of conditional probability. Participants are examining the definitions and relationships between the probabilities of events C and G.

Discussion Character

  • Conceptual clarification, Assumption checking

Approaches and Questions Raised

  • Some participants question the validity of the formula presented in the book, suggesting an alternative formulation. Others explore the implications of independence in probability and the definitions of conditional probability.

Discussion Status

The discussion is active, with participants providing insights into the definitions of conditional probability and the relationships between the probabilities of events. There is a recognition of the correct formula, but some confusion remains regarding notation and interpretation.

Contextual Notes

Participants are addressing potential misunderstandings related to the notation of conditional probability and the conditions under which the formulas apply. There is an emphasis on ensuring clarity in definitions and assumptions made in the problem context.

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Homework Statement



My book says that
P(C∩G) = P(G)P(C|G)

but shouldn't it be

P(C∩G)= P(C)P(C|G)

?


Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution

 
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princejan7 said:

Homework Statement



My book says that
P(C∩G) = P(G)P(C|G)

but shouldn't it be

P(C∩G)= P(C)P(C|G)
No. To see why, consider the case where ##C## and ##G## are independent. Then we expect ##P(C|G) = P(C)## and ##P(C \cap G) = P(C)P(G)##. That is consistent with the formula from the book, not your proposed formula.
 
princejan7 said:

Homework Statement



My book says that
P(C∩G) = P(G)P(C|G)

but shouldn't it be

P(C∩G)= P(C)P(C|G)

?


Homework Equations





The Attempt at a Solution


The book is correct. The definitionof conditional probability is
[tex]P(C|G) \equiv \frac{P(C \cap G)}{P(G)} \text{ if } P(G) \neq 0[/tex]
Sometimes, however, we are given ##P(C|G)## and ##P(G)##; in that case we can get ##P(C \cap G)## by 'reversing' the formula above.
 
Last edited:
princejan7 said:
My book says that
P(C∩G) = P(G)P(C|G)

but shouldn't it be

P(C∩G)= P(C)P(C|G)
Perhaps you are misreading the notation. P(C|G) means the probability of the event C given that event G occurs. Maybe you read it as the other way around?
 

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