Is the Space Station Being Decommissioned?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the future of the International Space Station (ISS) and the implications of the termination of the US Space Shuttle program. Participants explore the operational status of the ISS, potential replacements for the Shuttle, and the challenges associated with maintaining the ISS in orbit.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Technical explanation
  • Conceptual clarification

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants express uncertainty about the future of the ISS, questioning whether it will be decommissioned.
  • Others note that the ISS is an international project, and terminating it would violate international agreements.
  • There is discussion about the termination of the Space Shuttle program and its impact on ISS operations, with some stating that the Shuttle was essential for transporting people and supplies to the ISS.
  • Participants mention the Orion Crew Exploration Vehicle (CEV) and the Ares I as potential replacements for the Shuttle, while others express skepticism about their adequacy.
  • Some contributions highlight the need for a reboost system for the ISS to maintain its orbit, noting that atmospheric drag is a significant issue.
  • There are mentions of alternative concepts like the space elevator and VASIMR, but participants acknowledge significant challenges and limitations associated with these ideas.
  • Concerns are raised about the planning and foresight in transitioning away from the Shuttle, including the loss of Saturn V technology.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants do not reach a consensus on the future of the ISS or the adequacy of proposed Shuttle replacements. Multiple competing views and uncertainties remain regarding the operational status of the ISS and the effectiveness of alternative transportation methods.

Contextual Notes

Participants note the historical context of the ISS's mission and design changes over time, as well as the impact of past tragedies on the program. There are unresolved questions about the technical feasibility of maintaining the ISS and the implications of transitioning from the Shuttle program.

ScienceGurl
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I heard somewhere on here that they were going to not use or get rid of the space station anymore. Is that true? :confused:
 
Astronomy news on Phys.org
Wikipedia seems to suggest the ISS will remain operational until 2016.
 
The US Space Shuttle program is being terminated. The International Space Station program will keep on going. I intentionally prefixed the two programs as US/International. The Space Station is truly an international project. Terminating the ISS without consulting the international partners would entail breaking multiple international agreements (aka treaties). Other than the Canadian robotic arm, the Space Shuttle is a purely US endeavour. Terminating the Shuttle program won't break any treaties.

The decision to terminate the Shuttle has already been made and that decision is essentially irreversible. The last flight will be in 2010, period. Manufacturing pipelines have already been terminated. It will cost a lot of money to restart the Shuttle program. The Constellation program will need every cent of the Shuttle budget by the time the Shuttle program ends.
 
Additional note: With the exception of one mission to repair the Hubble (STS-125), the remainder of the Shuttle flights are dedicated to completing the ISS. See this page for a manifest of the remaining Shuttle flights.
 
Well what will replace the shuttle? I mean, the shuttle was pretty effective in transporting people up to ISS, but are they now planning to use conventional rockets or is there a new technology coming up?
 
AppleBite said:
Well what will replace the shuttle? I mean, the shuttle was pretty effective in transporting people up to ISS, but are they now planning to use conventional rockets or is there a new technology coming up?

NASA have been thinking about that for a while. With the announcment that the shuttles were retiring however they've been able to accelerate programs. I think they've opted for the Orion CEV as the shuttle replacement. Its seems hardly an adequate replacement however. The original concept for the shuttle replacement was the X-33 which never got off the ground because of design problems.
 
The Ares I / Orion CEV is one possibility. The Constellation program represents the old way of doing business: Big meetings, waterfall model, lots of NASA oversight, lots of money, and lots of time. There is presently a four+ year gap between Shuttle retirement and the first Orion mission to the ISS. NASA also has a longshot project for providing service to the ISS, the Commercial Orbital Transportation Services project. NASA for the most part keeps its mitts off with regard to COTS. If this works (and one of the two original COTS contractors has already failed), it could mean drastic changes in how NASA does mundane things like getting people and equipment to low Earth orbit.
 
Of course the X-33 program had the commercial aspect in mind. Its a shame the Lockheed deemed it too unprofitable to continue, because after NASA abandoned it they managed to solve the problem with the fuel tanks that was plaguing the vehicle. I suppose I only like the X-33 more simply because of aesthetics.
 
ScienceGurl said:
I heard somewhere on here that they were going to not use or get rid of the space station anymore. Is that true? :confused:
The size and mission of ISS has changed with each administration since Reagan. Originally the SS was going to be a stage for future manned space exploration, ostensibly Moon and Mars. Well that has yet to happen.

Then there was the huge cost which ballooned. The SS went through many design revisions - downward to something more modest and manageable - and it still costs billions, and part of that is the Shuttle program. Losing Challenger then Columbia really hurt the program and NASA overall.

During STS-120, Discovery is delivering yet another module (US Node 2) and two more are scheduled.

http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/shuttle/shuttlemissions/sts120/

http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/shuttle/shuttlemissions/sts120/mission_overview.html


In the long term, ISS will have to be boosted to slightly higher orbit, otherwise it will decay and re-enter Earth's atmosphere like Skylab did. The boosting system will need to be low thrust and such a system has yet to be developed.
 
  • #10
Astronuc said:
In the long term, ISS will have to be boosted to slightly higher orbit, otherwise it will decay and re-enter Earth's atmosphere like Skylab did. The boosting system will need to be low thrust and such a system has yet to be developed.

The ISS has a huge atmospheric drag cross section, making it lose about 100 meters of altitude per day. The ISS has to be reboosted to a higher altitude several times per year. This is currently done by thrusters on the ISS or by a visiting vehicle docked to the ISS. The reboosts are clearly visible in http://www.heavens-above.com/issheight.asp?.
 
  • #11
I think they need something more effective. Some time ago Vasimr was suggested.

Some folks at NASA were/are thinking higher still. But then I think there are issues with Shuttle getting there (?).

I don't think atmospheric drag was considered 20+ years ago during the initial concept phase. On the other hand, the loss of Skylab should have indicated that potential for atmospheric drag. Shuttle wasn't finished in time to rescue Skylab, and there were not contingencies in place to deal with it. :rolleyes:
 
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  • #12
I hope the transition away from the shuttle is well planned. I don't know what the reasoning behind this was but part of the original shuttle deal was to destroy the Saturn V plans. All we have left of the Saturn V is the rocket itself, so we would have to reverse engineer our own technology if we one day decided to replicate it. Does anyone know why they would want the Saturn V to be buried with zero chance of a comeback?
 
  • #13
The space elevator is an option, but security issues render it untenable. The cost is enormous, and its iconic nature would draw every idiot on Earth with access to a bomb and a cause.
 
  • #14
And we still lack the immediate ability to mass produce the carbon nanotubes needed to make an elevator stretching up into the heavens, so space elevator is still a bit off
 

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