Is the Western US Experiencing a Widespread Drought Crisis?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion centers around the widespread drought crisis affecting the western United States, with a focus on California, Nevada, Texas, and Arizona. Participants share observations, reports, and personal experiences regarding the severity of the drought and its implications for water supply and local economies.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Technical explanation
  • Debate/contested

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants report that California is experiencing a severe drought, threatening drinking water supplies for rural communities.
  • Others mention that Texas is also facing significant drought conditions, with reservoirs at critically low levels and a reliance on rainfall for water supply.
  • Several participants reference news articles and government assessments highlighting the ongoing water crisis in the Southwest, particularly concerning Lake Mead and the Colorado River.
  • One participant argues that drought is part of California's natural climatological cycle, suggesting that the last century has been unusually wet and that a drier period may be expected.
  • A participant from the Sierra Nevada Mountains describes the current winter as the driest in a long time, noting the impact on local ski resorts and summer water flow for recreational activities.
  • Another participant confirms that Arizona is experiencing dry conditions, mentioning a lack of winter precipitation.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express a range of observations about drought conditions across different states, but there is no consensus on the causes or long-term implications of the drought. Multiple competing views regarding the natural cycles of drought and the human impact on water resources are present.

Contextual Notes

Some claims depend on specific regional conditions and may not account for broader climatic factors. The discussion includes references to historical data and personal experiences that may not be universally applicable.

Who May Find This Useful

This discussion may be of interest to individuals concerned with environmental science, water resource management, and the impacts of climate variability on local economies in the western United States.

Astronuc
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I've heard several reports on radio news programs that the drought is severe across the western US, and apparently particularly acute in California and Nevada, and I presume Arizona.

LOS ANGELES — The punishing drought that has swept California is now threatening the state’s drinking water supply.

With no sign of rain, 17 rural communities providing water to 40,000 people are in danger of running out within 60 to 120 days. State officials said that the number was likely to rise in the months ahead after the State Water Project, the main municipal water distribution system, announced on Friday that it did not have enough water to supplement the dwindling supplies of local agencies that provide water to an additional 25 million people. It is first time the project has turned off its spigot in its 54-year history.
. . . .
Ref: http://www.nytimes.com/2014/02/02/us/severe-drought-has-us-west-fearing-worst.html

What other areas in the US are suffering from drought?
 
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Texas is hurting also. The reservoirs that supply central Texas are currently at 38% of capacity. The lowest they have ever been was at 31% in the 1950's, and they are forecast to go below that this summer unless some big rainfalls materialize. Unlike California, Texas has no snowfall to store water, so it is dependent on rain to keep the lakes full. Stream flows in the last few years have only been about 10-30% of the long term average. http://www.lcra.org/water/water-supply/drought-update/Pages/default.aspx is a website on the Texas drought problem if you are interested.
 
Here are two recent news articles plus the latest federal government's assessment of the drought in the Southwest:

Southwest’s Dwindling Water Supply
If Lake Mead drops below 1,000 feet above sea level, millions of people will lose their source of water. JAN. 5, 2014
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/01/06/us/southwests-water-supply.html?_r=0

The unprecedented water crisis of the American Southwest
A prolonged drought has sapped the once-vigorous Colorado River, threatening the water supply of millions. By The Week Staff | February 1, 2014
http://theweek.com/article/index/255814/the-unprecedented-water-crisis-of-the-american-southwest\U. S. Seasonal Drought Outlook, revisied 18 January, 2014
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/expert_assessment/sdo_summary.html
 
I live in the Sierra Nevada Mountains. This has been the driest winter in a long time. We've had only two snow storms, neither of which lasted very long, and maybe 3 rainy days. Twenty years ago I remember there being a few feet of snow on the ground by late October.

Here's a nice timeline from the people to whom I pay my water bill, showing lake levels over the last hundred years or so:

http://tmwa.com/lake_level

The ski resorts around here (there are a lot) have already taken huge losses for the season, given there wasn't any snow during Thanksgiving, Christmas, and New Years. There also won't be much water flow during the summer, so rafting the Truckee River might not even happen, which is another huge source of revenue for this small town.
 
You are right. Arizona is real dry. We didn't even have a winter to speark of: No frost and little rain.
 

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