Is there any evidence for universe still expanding?

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Discussion Overview

The discussion revolves around the evidence for the ongoing expansion of the universe, particularly focusing on whether current observations indicate that this expansion is still accelerating. Participants explore various observational methods and the implications of redshift measurements in understanding cosmic expansion.

Discussion Character

  • Exploratory
  • Debate/contested
  • Technical explanation
  • Mathematical reasoning

Main Points Raised

  • Some participants suggest that all observations of cosmic expansion are inherently in the past due to the finite speed of light, raising questions about the current state of expansion.
  • Others argue that while local observations may not show expansion due to gravitational binding, there is evidence of expansion occurring in non-gravitationally bound systems.
  • A participant questions whether time-lapse observations could provide evidence of ongoing expansion, particularly through comparisons of redshift in gravitationally lensed systems.
  • Concerns are raised about the limitations of redshift as an indicator of current expansion, with one participant suggesting that it only reflects past states and does not confirm ongoing acceleration.
  • Another participant draws an analogy to the sun's disappearance to illustrate the challenge of detecting gradual changes in cosmic expansion.
  • Discussions include the uncertainty in redshift measurements, with one participant noting that a 1% change in distance at high redshift (CMB) would take thousands of years to detect.
  • There is a debate over the rate of expansion, with one participant questioning the time it would take to observe a 1% increase in distance based on different cosmological models.

Areas of Agreement / Disagreement

Participants express differing views on the implications of redshift measurements and the nature of cosmic expansion. There is no consensus on whether current evidence definitively supports ongoing acceleration or if it remains unresolved.

Contextual Notes

Participants highlight limitations in observational methods, such as the dependence on redshift measurements and the challenges of detecting gradual changes over astronomical timescales.

Lok
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Considering that when we look at distant red-shifted structures of the universe we also look at their respective speed at that respective time of emission, is there any observational evidence that the acceleration is still happening today?
 
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All observations of expansion are in the past, due to light speed limits. Locally we cannot observe expansion due to being in a gravitationally bound region. However we can and do observe expansion still occurring at the nearest systems not gravitationally bound. However that is still a past event observation.

With all observations their is no reason to suspect of even consider that expansion has stopped accelerating as all our observations still supports expansion as still occurring
 
Thanks for your reply.

Is it not possible to see if expansion is still happening by time lapse? Has this been done?
Would comparing the redshift of a Gravitationally lensed system be possible? I mean where in one path the light travels a few hundred years more.

I ask these as evidence besides redshift for an expanding universe is scarce on wiki and the internet. And redshift is just the speed at a past point. There is nothing in it to say that this acceleration did not just dim away and all we see is the past image of it.
 
Lok said:
Thanks for your reply.

Is it not possible to see if expansion is still happening by time lapse? Has this been done?
Would comparing the redshift of a Gravitationally lensed system be possible? I mean where in one path the light travels a few hundred years more.

I ask these as evidence besides redshift for an expanding universe is scarce on wiki and the internet. And redshift is just the speed at a past point. There is nothing in it to say that this acceleration did not just dim away and all we see is the past image of it.

There is also, in exactly the same way, no evidence whatsoever that the sun did not disappear 1 minute ago and we just haven't noticed yet and won't for another 7 minutes.
 
phinds said:
There is also, in exactly the same way, no evidence whatsoever that the sun did not disappear 1 minute ago and we just haven't noticed yet and won't for another 7 minutes.
Nice analogy. Yet if the Suns disappearance is gradual over an hour or so. With the difference in light intensity of one minute we can statistically predict it's demise.

In the same way if we have a distant strongly red-shifted light-source I expect a slightly bigger redshift the next year (maybe a few years more).
 
Our redshift measurement uncertainty is no less than 1%, at best. Using a naïve approach, the CMB [z~1089] as our test subject, and Jorrie's cosmological calculator, http://www.einsteins-theory-of-relativity-4engineers.com/cosmocalc_2013.htm, the time required for a 1% change in distance at z~1089 is 6361 years. It would take a VERY long time to detect any measurable change in the CMB redshift.
 
Chronos said:
Our redshift measurement uncertainty is no less than 1%, at best. Using a naïve approach, the CMB [z~1089] as our test subject, and Jorrie's cosmological calculator, http://www.einsteins-theory-of-relativity-4engineers.com/cosmocalc_2013.htm, the time required for a 1% change in distance at z~1089 is 6361 years. It would take a VERY long time to detect any measurable change in the CMB redshift.
Hey, Chronos. I thought the rate of expansion was 1/144th of a percent per million years? Shouldn't it then take 144 million years to obseve a 1% increase in distance?
 
Lok said:
Nice analogy. Yet if the Suns disappearance is gradual over an hour or so. With the difference in light intensity of one minute we can statistically predict it's demise.

I have no idea what you are talking about. If the sun magically disappears the loss of light at the Earth would be instantaneous after 8 minutes with no prior indication at all.
 
Last edited by a moderator:
Bandersnatch said:
Hey, Chronos. I thought the rate of expansion was 1/144th of a percent per million years? Shouldn't it then take 144 million years to obseve a 1% increase in distance?
That applies to the current Hubble flow [H0]. I used the CMB at z~1089 to illustrate how long it takes to notice any difference even when the Hubble flow was enormous compared to the present. If you plug in z=0 to Jorrie's calculator you will note the time required for a 1% growth in cosmic distance is ~140 million years.
 
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