Likelihood Functions: Parameters & Probabilities

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SUMMARY

Likelihood functions represent the probability of a specific outcome of a random variable given certain parameters. These parameters can include both population parameters and statistical model parameters. For continuous random variables, the probability density function (PDF) f(x) does not provide the probability of a specific value but rather approximates the probability of the variable falling within a small interval. This distinction clarifies why the term "maximum likelihood" is preferred over "maximum probability" in statistical contexts.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of probability density functions (PDFs)
  • Familiarity with continuous random variables
  • Knowledge of statistical model parameters
  • Concept of maximum likelihood estimation
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the concept of maximum likelihood estimation in depth
  • Learn about the differences between probability and probability density
  • Explore applications of likelihood functions in statistical modeling
  • Investigate the implications of parameter estimation in population studies
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Statisticians, data scientists, and researchers involved in statistical modeling and parameter estimation will benefit from this discussion.

Cinitiator
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As far as I know, the definition of likelihood functions is the probability of a given random variable result given some parameter (please correct me if I'm wrong). What kind of parameters are usually handled by likelihood functions? Population parameters? Statistical model parameters? Both?
 
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Cinitiator said:
As far as I know, the definition of likelihood functions is the probability of a given random variable result given some parameter (please correct me if I'm wrong).

For a continuous random variable x with probability density f(x), a number such as f(a) isn't "the probability that x = a". ( For example the desnity of a random variable x uniformly distributed on the interval [0, 1/2] is f(x) = 2 and 2 isn't a possible value for the probability of an event.) The density can be used to approximate the probability that x is in a small interval around a particular value and in many situations, you can think of the density at f(a) as "the probability that x = a" in order to remember the correct formulas. But f(a) isn't actually "the probability that x = a".

The fact that a value of the denstiy function isn't an actual probability explains why the phrase "maximum liklihood" is used instead of the simpler phrase "maximum probability".
 

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