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...near someone's front door on Prince Edward Island.
The discussion centers around a video recording of a meteorite crash in Canada, specifically on Prince Edward Island. Participants explore the implications of such events, the rarity of meteorite strikes, and the statistical odds of individuals being struck by meteorites. The conversation touches on historical examples of meteorite impacts and the challenges associated with meteorite collection.
Participants express differing views on the statistical estimates of meteorite strikes and their implications. There is no consensus on the accuracy of the odds presented, and the discussion remains unresolved regarding the interpretation of these statistics.
Participants highlight the dependence on definitions and the assumptions behind statistical estimates. The discussion also reflects on the rarity of meteorite impacts and the challenges faced in meteorite collection, which may not be universally applicable.
1 in 700,000 seems way high, as it suggests that about 10,000 of the 7 billion people now on earth will have experienced a meteorite strike at some point in their lives; more than one hundred such events per year worldwide. Or am I misunderstanding the statistic?jedishrfu said:Some researchers have estimated that the odds of any individual being struck by a meteorite in their lifetime are 1 in 700,000 to 1 in several million.
The estimate does seem a bit too high.Nugatory said:1 in 700,000 seems way high, as it suggests that about 10,000 of the 7 billion people now on earth will have experienced a meteorite strike at some point in their lives;
Agreed. With only one known human hit by a meteorite in the past 70 years, that would suggest odds below 1:8 billion. Current population is 8 billion.Nugatory said:1 in 700,000 seems way high, as it suggests that about 10,000 of the 7 billion people now on earth will have experienced a meteorite strike at some point in their lives; more than one hundred such events per year worldwide. Or am I misunderstanding the statistic?
"Very few victims"? Assuming that one known victim is now dead (she'd be 104 years old), there would be no living victims.Baluncore said:Half of the victims will no longer be living on the Earth, so will be missing from the statistics. The other half of the living victims, will not yet have been victimised. That may be why there appear to be very few victims on Earth today.
It will take on the order of 100 per year on average just to get enough hits in before the people currently alive but not hit have died before they're hit.Baluncore said:The other half of the living victims, will not yet have been victimised
It hurt my ears! Should have a volume warningAstronuc said:I can see @davenn booking a trip to PEI.
jtbell said:...near someone's front door on Prince Edward Island.