Stargazing Meteorite crash recorded on video in Canada

AI Thread Summary
A recent video captured a meteorite crash in Prince Edward Island, contrasting with a Toyota Tacoma advertisement featuring a fake meteorite strike. The discussion highlights the rarity of meteorite strikes, with estimates suggesting odds of being hit by one range from 1 in 700,000 to 1 in several million. Participants debated the accuracy of these statistics, noting that only one documented case of a human being struck by a meteorite exists in the last 70 years. The conversation also touched on the challenges of legally obtaining meteorites from Canada, which can involve complicated paperwork. Overall, the event sparked interest in meteorite occurrences and their statistical implications.
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...near someone's front door on Prince Edward Island.

 
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This video is in contrast to the Toyota Tacoma truck advertisement of a fake meteorite strike:

 
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Interesting video until the final sequence when the interviewer asks, "what are the odds?". Odds, or probability, of what event? A meteor landing on Earth from the asteroid belts? This event being recorded by a security camera then recognized as such?
 
Examples

What are the odds?
  • Some researchers have estimated that the odds of any individual being struck by a meteorite in their lifetime are 1 in 700,000 to 1 in several million.
  • NASA has cited numbers in a similar ballpark, often around 1 in 1.6 million for a human lifetime.
Why So Rare?
  • Although the Earth is constantly bombarded by tiny bits of space debris, most burn up in the atmosphere as meteors (the “shooting stars” you see).
  • The number of meteorites that make it to Earth’s surface and are large enough to cause injury is extremely small.
  • Earth’s surface is approximately 70% water, and vast areas are uninhabited, so the chance of a meteorite landing in a populated area—let alone striking a person—is minuscule.
 
jedishrfu said:
Some researchers have estimated that the odds of any individual being struck by a meteorite in their lifetime are 1 in 700,000 to 1 in several million.
1 in 700,000 seems way high, as it suggests that about 10,000 of the 7 billion people now on earth will have experienced a meteorite strike at some point in their lives; more than one hundred such events per year worldwide. Or am I misunderstanding the statistic?
 
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Nugatory said:
1 in 700,000 seems way high, as it suggests that about 10,000 of the 7 billion people now on earth will have experienced a meteorite strike at some point in their lives;
The estimate does seem a bit too high.

Half of the victims will no longer be living on the Earth, so will be missing from the statistics. The other half of the living victims, will not yet have been victimised. That may be why there appear to be very few victims on Earth today.
 
Nugatory said:
1 in 700,000 seems way high, as it suggests that about 10,000 of the 7 billion people now on earth will have experienced a meteorite strike at some point in their lives; more than one hundred such events per year worldwide. Or am I misunderstanding the statistic?
Agreed. With only one known human hit by a meteorite in the past 70 years, that would suggest odds below 1:8 billion. Current population is 8 billion.

Baluncore said:
Half of the victims will no longer be living on the Earth, so will be missing from the statistics. The other half of the living victims, will not yet have been victimised. That may be why there appear to be very few victims on Earth today.
"Very few victims"? Assuming that one known victim is now dead (she'd be 104 years old), there would be no living victims.
 
Baluncore said:
The other half of the living victims, will not yet have been victimised
It will take on the order of 100 per year on average just to get enough hits in before the people currently alive but not hit have died before they're hit.
 
I can see @davenn booking a trip to PEI.
 
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Astronuc said:
I can see @davenn booking a trip to PEI.
It hurt my ears! Should have a volume warning
 
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jtbell said:
...near someone's front door on Prince Edward Island.



That is so very cool 😍

thankyou for the link

That right there is the definition of a hammerstone. One that hits something manmade. ( building, road etc). That quickly bumps up the sale price substantially and then to add more value, it was video'ed to hit. Even more $$$$.
There's only one hassle, trying to get Canadian meteorites out if Canada is like trying to get the proverbial "blood out of a stone". It is done, but the paperwork etc is not fun, so my 2 fellow Canadian meteorite collectors tell me, after have gone through the process.

Dave
 
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