How Does the Logistic Equation Model the Growth of the Pacific Halibut Biomass?

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SUMMARY

The Pacific halibut biomass growth is modeled by the differential equation \(\frac{dy}{dt}=ky\left(1-\frac{y}{M}\right)\), where the carrying capacity \(M\) is \(7 \times 10^7\) kg and the growth rate \(k\) is \(0.78\) per year. For an initial biomass of \(y(0) = 2 \times 10^7\) kg, the biomass after one year is calculated to be approximately \(3.26 \times 10^7\) kg. The time required for the biomass to reach \(4 \times 10^7\) kg was also discussed, with users confirming the correct application of the logistic growth formula.

PREREQUISITES
  • Understanding of differential equations, specifically logistic growth models.
  • Familiarity with the variables \(k\) (growth rate) and \(M\) (carrying capacity).
  • Proficiency in using exponential functions and natural logarithms.
  • Basic knowledge of population dynamics in ecology.
NEXT STEPS
  • Study the derivation and applications of the logistic growth equation in ecological modeling.
  • Explore numerical methods for solving differential equations, such as Euler's method.
  • Learn about the implications of carrying capacity in sustainable fisheries management.
  • Investigate the role of environmental factors affecting the growth rate \(k\) in different species.
USEFUL FOR

Ecologists, mathematicians, and students studying population dynamics or fisheries management will benefit from this discussion, particularly those interested in mathematical modeling of biological systems.

FritoTaco
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Homework Statement


The Pacific halibut fishery has been modeled by the differential equation.

\displaystyle\dfrac{dy}{dt}=ky\left(1-\dfrac{y}{M} \right)

where y(t) is the biomass (the total mass of the members of the population) in kilograms at time t (measured in years), the carrying capacity is estimated to be M = 7\times 10^7 kg, and k=0.78 per year.

(a) If y(0)= 2\times 10^7 kg, find the biomass a year later. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
(b) How long will it take for the biomass to reach 4\times 10^7 kg? (Round your answer to two decimal places.)

Homework Equations



\displaystyle P= \dfrac{K}{1+Ce^{-kt}}

The Attempt at a Solution



K = carrying capacity \implies 7\times 10^7 kg
k = 0.78 per year

At time 0, biomass is 2\times 10^7 kg \impliesy(0)= 2\times 10^7 kg

C = the difference between the carrying capacity and the initial capacity subtracted by 1.

C= \dfrac{7\times 10^7}{2 \times 10^7}-1=\dfrac{5}{2}
P=\dfrac{7 \times 10^7}{1+\dfrac{5}{2}e^{-0.78\cdot1}}= 70000001.15 kg

I'm trying to solve for the biomass (P) after 1 year. This answer doesn't seem correct. Am I using the wrong number for variable t? Or I'm not solving for P right away?
 
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FritoTaco said:
\dfrac{7 \times 10^7}{1+\dfrac{5}{2}e^{-0.78\cdot1}}= 70000001.15 kg
The two sides here are not equal. The denominator is larger than 1, the fraction cannot be larger than the numerator.
 
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FritoTaco said:

Homework Statement


The Pacific halibut fishery has been modeled by the differential equation.

\displaystyle\dfrac{dy}{dt}=ky\left(1-\dfrac{y}{M} \right)

where y(t) is the biomass (the total mass of the members of the population) in kilograms at time t (measured in years), the carrying capacity is estimated to be M = 7\times 10^7 kg, and k=0.78 per year.

(a) If y(0)= 2\times 10^7 kg, find the biomass a year later. (Round your answer to two decimal places.)
(b) How long will it take for the biomass to reach 4\times 10^7 kg? (Round your answer to two decimal places.)

Homework Equations



\displaystyle P= \dfrac{K}{1+Ce^{-kt}}

P=\dfrac{7 \times 10^7}{1+\dfrac{5}{2}e^{-0.78\cdot1}}= 70000001.15 kg

I'm trying to solve for the biomass (P) after 1 year. This answer doesn't seem correct. Am I using the wrong number for variable t? Or I'm not solving for P right away?

Is ##P## the same as ##y##? I assume so.

Your final equation is incorrect; it should be
$$ \frac{7 \times 10^7}{1 +\displaystyle \frac{5}{2} e^{-0.78 \times 1}} = 4 \times 10^7$$
 
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Thanks, guys, I got the right answer now. Major parentheses mistake for the calculator.

I can solve b, but for a.) I got 3.26\times10^7
 
FritoTaco said:
Thanks, guys, I got the right answer now. Major parentheses mistake for the calculator.

I can solve b, but for a.) I got 3.26\times10^7

Why the "but"? Your answer for (a) is correct.
 
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Sorry for my bad English. For (a) I got 3.26 \times 10^7
 

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